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加拿大人寿:2026年市场展望报告:把握韧性经济中的机遇(英文版)(29页).pdf

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1、This document contains both information and navigation buttons.To read information,use the Down Arrow from a form field.Canada Life Investment Management Ltd.|2026 Market Outlook Report12026 Market Outlook Keeping steady in uneven but resilient markets Despite tariff pressures,softer labour markets

2、and renewed geopolitical tensions,the global economy showed surprising resilience in 2025.In 2026,its artificial intelligence,easing inflation,trade tensions,diverging monetary policies and structural challenges that may be the drivers impacting global growth and shaking up markets.Canada Life Inves

3、tment Management Ltd.|2026 Market Outlook Report2Executive summary We expect the investment landscape in 2026 to be complex,with notable trends and evolving investment opportunities.In this Market Outlook,weve gathered insights from world class investment managers across our product shelf to help yo

4、u navigate the year ahead.Five themes stand out,offering context on whats shaping global markets and what may guide investment decisions in 2026.1Adaptability will remain critical.Markets are entering a transition period following interest rate cuts in Canada and the U.S.,ongoing tariff pressures an

5、d accelerating investment in artificial intelligence(AI).Flexibility will be essential to navigate these dynamics.2Global growth will continue to surprise.Despite geopolitical challenges and labour market weakness,global gross domestic product at the end of 2025 was stronger than anticipated,driven

6、by AI-related spending.In 2026,economic activity is expected to increasingly revolve around two blocs,with the U.S.-led bloc maintaining advantage in liquidity,scale and technological depth over the China-led bloc.3Regional divergence will persist.Canada enters 2026 with subdued demand but room for

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根据报告的内容,本文主要概括了2026年市场展望报告的关键要点: 1. 全球经济在2025年表现出出人意料的韧性,尽管面临关税压力、劳动力市场疲软和地缘政治紧张局势。2026年,人工智能、通胀缓解、贸易紧张、货币政策分歧和结构性挑战可能会影响全球增长并引发市场波动。 2. 加拿大经济在2026年预计将面临外部需求疲软和有限的贸易谈判杠杆。预计加拿大央行政策利率将在年中前降至1.75%。 3. 美国经济在2025年末表现出强劲增长,主要受人工智能相关支出推动。预计2026年,美国经济将继续表现强劲,受生产力提升和消费者支出支持。 4. 2026年,人工智能将继续是市场表现的关键驱动力。随着更多公司采用人工智能,成本降低,利润和效率提高。 5. 2026年,全球经济增长预计将保持稳定,通胀波动有所缓解,主要受美国创新和稳定的北美需求推动。然而,贸易紧张、能源供应中断和货币政策传导不均等风险仍然存在。 6. 投资组合定位将是决定性的。宽松货币政策和晚期周期动态支持固定收益,而银行和公用事业等防御性行业提供稳定性。技术相关公司已提供增长,并可能继续这样做。投资者寻求多元化、收入和对不确定性的弹性,替代投资将获得吸引力。
五大主题解析" "AI浪潮下,2026投资机会何在?" 把握区域分化机遇"
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