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兰德公司:2025欧洲与通用人工智能地缘政治:制定预备计划的必要性研究报告(英文版)(102页).pdf

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1、Europe and the geopolitics of AGIThe need for a preparedness planMaximilian Negele*1,4,Daan Juijn*2,Afek Shamir1,David Janku2,Bengsu zcan2,Lisa Soder1,3,Lucia Velasco4,Max Reddel2,Michiel Bakker5,Lorenzo Pacchiardi6,Maksym Andriushchenko7*Corresponding authors,equal contribution1 RAND Center on AI,S

2、ecurity,and Technology 2 Centre for Future Generations 3 Stanford University 4 University of Oxford 5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology 6 University of Cambridge7 ELLIS Institute Tbingen and Max Planck Institute for Intelligent SystemsFor more information on this publication,visit www.rand.org/t

3、/RRA4636-1About RAND Europe RAND Europe is a not-for-profit research organisation that helps improve policy and decision making through research and analysis.To learn more about RAND Europe,visit www.randeurope.org.Research Integrity Our mission to help improve policy and decision making through res

4、earch and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behaviour.To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous,objective,and nonpartisan,we subject our research publications to a robust and

5、exacting quality-assurance process;avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training,project screening,and a policy of mandatory disclosure;and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of ou

6、r research findings and recommendations,disclosure of the source of funding of published research,and policies to ensure intellectual independence.For more information,visit www.rand.org/about/research-integrity.RANDs publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and s

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根据报告的内容,本文主要讨论了欧洲对人工通用智能(AGI)的准备情况。关键点如下: 1. AGI可能在2030年至2040年之间出现,甚至更早。这将对经济增长、军事能力和国际稳定产生重大影响。 2. 欧洲在战略意识、竞争地位和政策策略方面尚未充分准备好应对AGI的快速转变。欧洲在AI竞争中的地位较弱,缺乏战略影响力。 3. 建议欧盟委员会主席委托编写一份AGI准备情况报告,以制定欧洲在AGI时代的繁荣、安全和稳定国际治理的战略。 4. 报告应解决三个核心挑战:在保持主权的同时获取AGI的经济利益,为快速变化做准备,加强AGI时代的全球治理。 5. 欧洲需要制定一个准备计划,以避免在AGI时代被边缘化。
欧洲是否准备好迎接AGI时代? AGI将如何改变全球地缘政治格局? 欧洲在AGI竞争中处于何种位置?
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