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美国农业部(USDA):2025菲律宾食糖市场半年度报告(中译版)(16页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:November 26,2025 Report Number:RP2025-0043 Report Name:Sugar Semi-annual Country:Philippines Post:Mani

2、la Report Category:Sugar Prepared By:Florence Mojica-Sevilla Approved By:Herpin Rochet Jateng Report Highlights:Post forecasts sugar production in Marketing Year(MY)2026 to remain flat at 2.085 million metric tons(MT).While there are expansion areas especially in Mindanao,the red-striped soft scale

3、insects(RSSI)are affecting some sugarcane fields,which could result in lower sugar recovery.Favorable crop development in the Southern Negros is expected to compensate for the decrease in production caused by RSSI infestation.On September 29,2025,the Philippines released Sugar Order No.1(SO1)allocat

4、ing 100 percent of its production to the domestic market.The decision aligns with FAS Manilas forecast of zero exports in MY 2026,pending future announcements regarding the Philippines decision to ship their country-specific allocation of sugar to the U.S.WTO raw sugar tariff-rate quota(TRQ).Consump

5、tion is projected to remain steady at 2.2 million MT,with imports of 208,000 MT expected to fulfill the remaining volume approved under Sugar Order No.8 released in July 2025.2 Production:Centrifugal Sugar(Raw Sugar).FAS Manila revised the PSD historical data on sugar centrifugal for MY 2024,MY 2025

6、,and forecast year MY 2026 to align with official Philippine Sugar Regulatory Administration(SRA)data.On July 8,2025,SRA issued Circular Letter(CL)No.32-A amending the marketing year,shifting it to October 1-September 30,replacing the previous September 1-August 31 MY cycle(CL32).Please see GAIN rep

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- **菲律宾2026年糖产量预计保持稳定,为208.5万吨**。 - **受红条纹粉虱(RSSI)影响,部分甘蔗田产量下降,但南部内格罗斯地区良好作物发展将补偿减少的产量**。 - **2025年9月29日,菲律宾发布糖令第1号(SO1),将100%的产量分配给国内市场,预计2026年无出口**。 - **消费预计保持稳定,为220万吨,进口20.8万吨以满足糖令第8号批准的剩余量**。 - **糖业管理局(SRA)发布糖令第1号(SO1),预计原糖产量为192万吨,可能因RSSI侵害和内格罗斯过度降雨而减少**。 - **2025年,菲律宾糖价格高于预期,导致木糖价格也上涨,国内和出口市场对木糖生产商来说都很有利**。 - **预计2026年无原糖进口,政府优先保护当地生产商并确保国内糖业稳定**。
产量稳定,出口何去何从?" ** "糖价飙升,菲律宾消费者等待降价!" ** "红条纹粉虱威胁,菲律宾糖业面临挑战!"
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