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美国农业部（USDA）：2025加拿大乳制品市场年度报告（英文版）（28页）.pdf

上传人： 1****1 编号：981097 2025-12-03 28页 1.30MB

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:November 21,2025 Report Number:CA2025-0038 Report Name:Dairy and Products Annual Country:Canada Post:O

2、ttawa Report Category:Dairy and Products Prepared By:Mihai Lupescu Approved By:Daniel Archibald Report Highlights:FAS/Canada projects modest milk production growth in 2026,driven by a slight increase in requirements for industrial milk,and steady consumption of fluid milk.Production of cheese and bu

3、tter is also forecast to increase modestly in 2026,in the face of adequate stocks,and solid demand.Growth in cheese imports is expected to taper off in 2026,as market access under all tariff rate quotas matured and reached the phase of marginal expansion.Skim milk powder exports are expected to rema

4、in within the limits set by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement,while the industry continues to focus on producing high-protein dairy ingredients.2 Executive Summary:In 2025,growth in Canadas population returned to the slower-paced long-term trend,and so did total fluid milk consumption,which

5、is forecast to grow by 0.4 percent in 2026,after an estimated 0.3 percent increase in 20251.With demand for industrial milk steady,FAS/Canada forecasts a modest 0.7 percent growth in overall milk production(fluid and industrial markets combined)in 2026,following an estimated 1 percent production inc

6、rease in 2025.As discussed in the skim milk powder section of this report,the solids non-fat to butterfat ratio in Canadian milk has been on decline for the past five years,meaning that proportionally less milk is needed to meet a certain level of butterfat requirements.As market access volumes unde

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根据报告的内容，以下是报告的简要概括： 1. **牛奶生产**：加拿大2026年牛奶产量预计增长0.7%，达到1050万吨，主要受工业用奶需求增加和液态奶消费稳定推动。 2. **奶酪和黄油**：奶酪和黄油产量预计也将适度增长，得益于充足的库存和稳定的需求。 3. **奶酪进口**：奶酪进口增长预计放缓，因为所有关税配额下的市场准入已成熟，进入边际扩张阶段。 4. **脱脂奶粉出口**：脱脂奶粉出口预计将保持在美墨加协定设定的限制内，同时行业继续专注于生产高蛋白乳制品成分。 5. **人口和消费**：2025年加拿大人口增长恢复到较慢的长期趋势，总液态奶消费预计增长0.4%。 6. **政策支持**：政府为应对贸易协议带来的市场准入让步，对奶农和加工商提供了总计32亿加元的补偿措施。
加拿大2026年乳制品产量预测如何？ 加拿大奶酪进口量2026年将如何变化？ 加拿大2026年脱脂奶粉出口量预测是多少？
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