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IMF:2025年世界经济展望报告:全球格局风云变幻 增长前景依然承压(10月版)(中译版)(186页).pdf

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1、2025OCTWORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOKGlobal Economy in Flux,Prospects Remain DimINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND2025OCTINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUNDWORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOKGlobal Economy in Flux,Prospects Remain Dim2025 International Monetary Fund Cover and Design:IMF CSF Creative Solutions Division Cataloging-in-Pu

2、blication DataIMF LibraryNames:International Monetary Fund.Title:World economic outlook(International Monetary Fund)Other titles:WEO|Occasional paper(International Monetary Fund)|World economic and financial surveys.Description:Washington,DC:International Monetary Fund,1980-|Semiannual|Some issues a

3、lso have thematic titles.|Began with issue for May 1980.|1981-1984:Occasional paper/International Monetary Fund,0251-6365|1986-:World economic and financial surveys,0256-6877.Identifiers:ISSN 0256-6877(print)|ISSN 1564-5215(online)Subjects:LCSH:Economic developmentPeriodicals.|International economic

4、 relationsPeriodicals.|Debts,ExternalPeriodicals.|Balance of paymentsPeriodicals.|International financePeriodicals.|Economic forecastingPeriodicals.Classification:LCC HC10.W79HC10.80 ISBN 979-8-22902-394-8(English Paper)979-8-22902-402-0(English ePub)979-8-22902-400-6(English Web PDF)Disclaimer:The

5、World Economic Outlook(WEO)is a survey by the IMF staff pub-lished twice a year,in the spring and fall.The WEO is prepared by the IMF staff and has benefited from comments and suggestions by Executive Directors following their discussion of the report on September 29,2025.The views expressed in this

6、 publica-tion are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMFs Executive Directors or their national authorities.Recommended citation:International Monetary Fund.2025.World Economic Outlook:Global Economy in Flux,Prospects Remain Dim.Washington,DC.October.Publication

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根据《2025年世界经济展望》报告,以下为全文主要内容概括: 1. 全球经济增长放缓,预计2025年增长3.2%,2026年增长3.1%,较2024年有所下降。 2. 美国实施贸易保护主义政策,对全球经济造成冲击,但影响有限。 3. 中国经济增速放缓,房地产市场持续低迷,制造业出口增长难以持续。 4. 发达经济体财政可持续性面临挑战,低收入国家受国际援助减少影响较大。 5. 全球金融环境宽松,但人工智能投资泡沫风险增加。 6. 风险因素包括贸易政策不确定性、财政可持续性、金融稳定性等。 7. 政策建议:加强多边合作,推动结构性改革,保持财政和货币政策稳定。
**经济展望如何?** **全球增长前景如何?** **贸易政策影响大吗?**
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