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AICPA & CIMA：2025年第三季度美国企业经济前景调查报告（英文版）（25页）.pdf

上传人： 1****1 编号：909824 2025-09-12 25页 574.41KB

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1、AICPA Business and Industry Economic Outlook SurveyDetailed survey results:3Q 2025Management Accounting&Finance3Q 2025 economic outlook survey2Survey top line Overall Optimism U.S.economy optimism recovered to 34%from a low of 27%in Q2 Organization optimism remained constant with 37%of executives co

2、ntinuing to be optimistic about their own company prospects Global outlook recovered 4 points from a low in Q2 of 19%to now 23%optimistic about the global economy;Expansion Hiring Expansion plans rebounded slightly from 43%to 46%of executives having expansion plans;those with plans to contract their

3、 business increased also dropped two points to 28%in Q3 Hiring plans remain relatively constant;14%have excess employees,up from 12%in Q2;33%of organizations of all sizes now need employees;17%continue to be hesitant to hire;16%have plans to hire,up from 14%in Q2 Revenue Profits Revenue forecasts re

4、bounded to 1.5%after dropping two points in Q2 to only 1.0%Profitability followed suit,rallying slightly from a projection of a-0.3%decline to a 0.1%increase being forecast looking forward from Q3Survey background Conducted between August 5,2025-August 26,2025 Quarterly survey CPA decision makers pr

5、imarily CFOs,CEOs and Controllers AICPA members in business&industry 275 qualified responses3Q 2025 economic outlook survey4Survey highlights Inflation followed by domestic economic conditions repeat as the top two challenges this quarter.Employee and benefits cost moved up one slot to#3,trading pla

6、ces with materials,supplies and equipment costs now in#4.Domestic political leadership moved up a notch to#5TopChallengesSpending Plans Projected IT spending increased from 2.5%to 2.8%The expected rate of increased spending for other capital also rebounded from 1.4%to 2.1%looking forward from Q3 Ant

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- **经济乐观度提升**：美国经济乐观度从第二季度的27%回升至34%，组织乐观度保持不变，37%的执行官认为自身公司前景乐观。 - **扩张计划增加**：46%的执行官认有扩张计划，28%计划缩减业务。 - **招聘计划稳定**：14%有超额员工，33%的组织需要员工，17%犹豫是否招聘。 - **收入和利润预期**：收入预测回升至1.5%，利润预期从-0.3%的下降变为0.1%的增长。 - **主要挑战**：通货膨胀和国内经济条件是最大的挑战，其次是员工和福利成本。 - **IT和资本支出增加**：预计IT支出从2.5%增至2.8%，其他资本支出从1.4%增至2.1%。 - **扩张预期**：37%的企业预计在未来12个月内会小幅扩张，9%预计会大幅扩张。 - **关税不确定性**：58%的企业认为当前关税环境对业务计划的影响是显著的。 - **对经济衰退的预期**：54%的企业不确定或预计2026年会出现经济衰退，75%预计衰退程度为严重。
乐观还是谨慎？" 计划与挑战并存？" 如何应对不确定性？"
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