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特许公认会计师公会(ACCA):2025年第二季度全球经济状况调查报告(中译版)(11页).pdf

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1、Global economic conditions survey report:Q2,2025.GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS SURVEY REPORT:Q2,2025Executive summary 2Confidence rose somewhat in Western Europe and North America but fell sharply in Asia Pacific.Confidence in North America rose in Q2(see Chart 2),amid some improvement in sentiment amo

2、ng U.S.-based accountants,but it remains depressed by historical standards,and the other key indicators for the region are at low levels historically.There was another moderate gain in confidence in Western Europe,aided by a further improvement in the UK from its record low in Q4 2024.Nonetheless,co

3、nfidence in the region is still low by historical standards.Meanwhile,there was a sharp fall in confidence in Asia Pacific,erasing the gains made in Q1 2025.The deterioration in the backdrop for global trade,amid major changes in U.S.trade policy,was likely the key factor weighing on sentiment.At th

4、e time of the survey,many countries in the region faced the threat of large additional increases in U.S.import tariffs once the 90-day tariff pauses ended on 9 July.Global cost pressures eased according to accountants,although there are divergent regional pressures.The proportion of North American r

5、espondents reporting increased operating costs eased slightly,although remaining on the high side historically after the large increase in Q1 which likely reflected the rise in import tariffs,increasing the risk that firms may attempt to raise prices over coming months.Except for Western Europe,cost

6、 pressures dont look concerning in the other regions(see Chart 5).For the first time,geopolitics topped accountants global risk priorities in Q2:economic fears tied with regulatory and compliance risks as the second highest risk priority(see Chart 18).Talent scarcity and cybersecurity remain critica

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根据《全球经济状况调查报告》(GECS)2025年第二季度报告,以下为关键点: 1. 全球会计师信心指数自2024年第二季度以来首次上升,但历史标准下仍处于较低水平。 2. 西欧和北美信心有所上升,但亚太地区信心大幅下降,主要受美国贸易政策变化影响。 3. 全球成本压力有所缓解,但地区间存在差异,西欧和北美成本压力较高。 4. 地缘政治成为会计师全球风险优先事项之首,其次是经济、监管和合规风险。 5. 全球增长尽管存在不确定性,但总体上仍显示出韧性,预计下半年可能放缓。 6. 新订单和资本支出指数下降,就业指数略有改善。 7. CFO信心指数略有下降,对订单前景的看法明显恶化。
涨跌之谜?" "贸易战阴影下,亚太经济何去何从?" "地缘政治风险,企业如何应对?"
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