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美国农业部(USDA):2025巴基斯坦谷物与饲料市场年度报告(中译版)(14页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:625041 2025-04-16 14页 784.74KB

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:April 08,2025 Report Number:PK2025-0003 Report Name:Grain and Feed Annual Country:Pakistan Post:Islama

2、bad Report Category:Grain and Feed Prepared By:Asmat Raza Approved By:Christopher Rittgers Report Highlights:Wheat production is projected to fall to 27.5 million tons in 2025/26 due to a decrease in cultivated area and extremely dry weather.This shortfall in domestic production is expected to lead

3、to increased imports,forecast at 1.7 million tons.On the other hand,rice production is anticipated to reach 9.8 million tons,driven by strong export demand and positive returns,although this remains dependent on the replenishment of irrigation water storage levels.With this supply outlook,rice expor

4、ts are expected to stay robust at 5.8 million tons.Meanwhile,corn production in 2025/26 is forecast to rise to 9.6 million tons,supported by an increase in cultivated area and assuming average yields.Executive Summary Based on an estimated 7 percent decrease in area,and assuming 5-year average yield

5、,wheat production in 2025/2026 is forecast at 27.5 million tons,thirteen percent lower than the record 2024/25 production.Low prices,the governments decision to stop procuring wheat at guaranteed prices,and dry weather are the primary reasons for the decline in wheat area and expected decline in out

6、put.Wheat consumption in 2025/26 is forecast at 31.9 million tons,up slightly in line with population growth.Given this consumption forecast and based on expected production of 27.5 million tons and large carry-over stocks,2025/26 imports are forecast at 1.7 million tons.Wheat and wheat flour prices

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根据报告,2025/26年度巴基斯坦小麦产量预计为2750万吨,比上年度减少13%,主要原因是种植面积减少和极端干旱天气。预计进口量为170万吨。大米产量预计为980万吨,出口量为580万吨。玉米产量预计为960万吨,出口量为60万吨。报告还提到,巴基斯坦政府正在逐步放开小麦市场,取消对农民的最低支持价格,并停止政府对小麦的采购和分配。政府还控制着小麦的进口和出口,目前仍禁止小麦的进出口。政府还在努力解决巴基斯坦大米在欧洲的残留问题,以保持出口顺畅。
2025/26年巴基斯坦小麦产量预计下降,原因是什么? 巴基斯坦大米出口市场有哪些?出口量如何? 巴基斯坦玉米产量和消费情况如何?出口前景如何?
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