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新美国安全中心:2024人工智能与国家生物安全风险的演变研究报告:能力、阈值和干预措施(英文版)(44页).pdf

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1、AUGUST 2024AI and the Evolution of Biological National Security RisksCapabilities,Thresholds,and InterventionsBill Drexel and Caleb WithersAbout the AuthorsBill Drexel is a fellow for the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security(CNAS).His work focuses on Sin

2、o-American competition,artificial intelligence,and technology as an element of American grand strategy.Previously,Drexel worked on humanitarian innovation at the UN(International Organization for Migration)and on Indo-Pacific affairs at the American Enterprise Institute.Always seeking on-the-ground

3、exposure,Drexel has served as a rescue boat driver during Libyas migration crisis;conducted investigative research in the surveillance state of Xinjiang,China;and supported humanitarian data efforts across wartime Ukraine.He holds a BA from Yale University and masters degrees from Cambridge and Tsin

4、ghua universities.Caleb Withers is a research assistant for the Technology and National Security Program at CNAS.Before CNAS,he worked as a policy analyst for a variety of New Zealand government departments.He holds an MA in security studies from Georgetown University with a concentration in technol

5、ogy and security,and a bachelors of commerce from Victoria University of Wellington with majors in economics and information systems.About the Technology&National Security ProgramThe CNAS Technology and National Security Program explores the policy challenges associated with emerging technologies.A

6、key focus of the program is bringing together the technology and policy communities to better understand these challenges and together develop solutions.About the Artificial Intelligence Safety&Stability ProjectThe CNAS AI Safety&Stability Project is a multiyear,multiprogram effort that addresses th

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本文主要探讨了人工智能(AI)对生物国家安全风险的影响,特别是生物恐怖主义和生物武器的威胁。文章首先介绍了生物安全风险的来源,包括自然发生的疫情、实验室事故、国家行为体、非国家行为体等。然后,文章讨论了生物技术的进步,特别是合成生物学的发展,如何降低制造生物武器的门槛。接着,文章分析了AI如何通过提高实验效率、优化生物武器设计、加速生物样本的获取等途径,增加生物安全风险。文章还讨论了国际社会和美国的生物防御措施,以及专家对生物安全风险的不同看法。最后,文章提出了监测AI在生物安全风险方面的关键能力,并给出了政策建议。
生物安全威胁是否被夸大? 人工智能如何影响生物安全风险? 如何有效应对生物安全风险?
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