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美国信息技术与创新基金会:2024中国在量子领域的创新能力如何研究报告(英文版)(25页).pdf

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1、 itif.org How Innovative Is China in Quantum?HODAN OMAAR AND MARTIN MAKARYAN|SEPTEMBER 2024 Chinas lead in quantum communications is undeniable,but its overall quantum prowess is limited;without computing breakthroughs,the United States still holds the upper hand.KEY TAKEAWAYS China leads in quantum

2、 communications,lags behind in computing(where the United States excels),and matches the United States in sensing,excelling in market-ready tech,while the United States dominates high-impact areas.China claims over$15 billion in public quantum funding,far outpacing the United States.While U.S.privat

3、e funding is higher,China offsets its private sector shortfall with massive public investment.Chinas quantum strategy is insular,relying on domestic resources with limited global collaboration.This approach yields rapid gains but poses long-term risks in sustaining complex technology advancements.Go

4、vernment-led industrial hubs such as Hefeis“Quantum Avenue”are pivotal for cultivating Chinas quantum industry,creating a direct pipeline from academic research to strategic,market-ready technologies that serve national priorities.Chinas state control over quantum research and development(R&D)is gro

5、wing,with firms such as Alibaba and Baidu exiting quantum research,aligning innovation with national goals and reducing private sector involvement.China strategically benefits from open innovation environments abroad,selectively engaging with them while protecting its own quantum advances,creating a

6、n asymmetric knowledge-sharing environment.The United States should rapidly scale funding,foster industry-led innovation,and streamline the path from research to market to ensure its quantum leadership translates into real-world economic and strategic gains.INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATI

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本文主要讨论了中国在量子技术领域的创新能力和进展。文章指出,中国在量子通信领域处于全球领先地位,特别是在量子密钥分发(QKD)技术方面,中国已经建立了世界上最长的QKD网络——北京到上海的1200英里骨干网,并通过“墨子号”量子科学卫星将量子通信扩展到更远的距离。然而,在量子计算领域,中国则落后于美国,特别是在硬件开发和算法复杂性方面。在量子传感领域,中国和美国的创新能力相当。 文章还指出,中国的量子创新战略是内向型的,主要依靠国内资源,国际合作有限。这种策略虽然短期内取得了快速进展,但也存在长期风险。中国政府对量子研究和开发的控制日益加强,例如阿里巴巴和百度已经退出量子研究,转向与国家目标一致的创新。 在资金投入方面,虽然中国声称在量子技术上的公共投入超过1500亿美元,远超美国的380亿美元,但实际投入可能低于这一数字。中国政府的资金投入,无论是否完全实现,都使其成为全球量子竞赛中的强大力量。 最后,文章建议美国应立即采取积极措施,以确保其在全球量子技术领域的领导地位,包括增加研发资金投入,加强与盟友的合作,避免过早设定量子标准,以及实施有针对性的出口管制措施。
中国在量子通信领域为何领先? 为什么中国在量子计算方面落后于美国? 中国在量子传感方面表现如何?
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