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国际商会&Oxera:2024极端天气事件经济成本研究报告(英文版)(51页).pdf

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1、 Public Oxera 2024 The economic cost of extreme weather events The economic cost of extreme weather events 1 The economic cost of extreme weather events Prepared for the International Chamber of Commerce 7 November 2024 Public Oxera 2024 The economic cost of extreme weather events 2 Contents ICC for

2、eword 1 Executive summary 2 1 Introduction 4 2 Understanding the trends and distribution of climate-related extreme weather impacts 6 2.1 Acute vs.chronic impacts 6 2.2 Definition and scope of climate-related extreme weather events 7 2.3 Trends in climate-related extreme weather events 8 2.4 The dis

3、tribution of climate-related extreme weather impacts 9 3 Categories of economic impact associated with extreme weather events 13 3.1 Introduction 13 3.2 Physical impacts 13 3.3 Human impacts 22 3.4 Broader impacts 25 3.5 Conclusion 29 4 Quantifying the economic damage to physical assets and human ca

4、pital associated with extreme weather events 30 4.1 Introduction 30 4.2 Methodology and data sources 30 4.3 Destruction of physical assets 32 4.4 Destruction of human capital:early deaths 33 4.5 Findings 34 4.6 Conclusion 45 Figures and Tables Figure 2.1 The regional distribution of populations vuln

5、erable to climate shocks 11 Figure 4.1 Economic impact of climate-related extreme weather events,2014 to 2023 35 Figure 4.2 Number of annual climate-related reported deaths 36 Figure 4.3 Proportion of economic cost attributable to loss of physical vs.human assets 37 Oxera Consulting LLP is a limited

6、 liability partnership registered in England no.OC392464,registered office:Park Central,40/41 Park End Street,Oxford OX1 1JD,UK with an additional office in London located at 200 Aldersgate,14th Floor,London EC1A 4HD,UK;in Belgium,no.0651 990 151,branch office:Spectrum,Boulevard Bischoffsheim 1221,1

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本文由国际商会委托Oxera咨询公司撰写,旨在量化气候变化极端天气事件对物理资产和人力资本的经济影响。主要内容包括: 1. 气候变化极端天气事件对个人、企业和经济构成重大风险,包括热浪、极端降水、干旱和热带气旋等。 2. 2014至2023年间,全球记录了近4000起此类事件,导致经济损失约2万亿美元。 3. 这些事件对物理资产和人力资本造成直接影响,如破坏住宅、商业地产和基础设施,以及早逝、伤害和健康问题。 4. 这些事件还通过破坏供应链、人口流离失所和投资受阻等更广泛的经济影响,加剧了现有社会经济不平等。 5. 2022和2023年,经济损失达到4510亿美元,较之前八年平均水平增长19%。 6. 报告强调,没有增强的气候行动和缓解措施,与气候变化相关的极端天气事件的经济负担将持续并可能增长。
极端天气事件对经济有何影响? 气候变化如何影响人类生活? 极端天气事件对基础设施有何破坏?
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