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新美国安全中心(CNAS):2024潜在危机:简述人工智能、重大危机与国家安全(英文版)(42页).pdf

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1、JUNE 2024Catalyzing CrisisA Primer on Artificial Intelligence,Catastrophes,and National SecurityBill Drexel and Caleb WithersAbout the AuthorsBill Drexel is a fellow for the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security(CNAS).His work focuses on Sino-American com

2、petition,artificial intelligence,and technology as an element of American grand strategy.Previously,Drexel worked on humanitarian innovation at the UN(International Organization for Migration)and on Indo-Pacific affairs at the American Enterprise Institute.Always seeking on-the-ground exposure,Drexe

3、l has served as a rescue boat driver during Libyas migration crisis;conducted investigative research in the surveillance state of Xinjiang,China;and supported humanitarian data efforts across wartime Ukraine.He holds a BA from Yale University and masters degrees from Cambridge and Tsinghua universit

4、ies.Caleb Withers is a research assistant for the Technology and National Security Program at CNAS.Before CNAS,he worked as a policy analyst for a variety of New Zealand government departments.He holds an MA in security studies from Georgetown University with a concentration in technology and securi

5、ty,and a bachelors of commerce from Victoria University of Wellington with majors in economics and information systems.AcknowledgmentsThe authors are grateful to Suzanne Spaulding and Andrew Imbrie for their valuable feedback and suggestions on earlier drafts of this report.This report would not hav

6、e been possible without contributions from our CNAS colleagues,including Paul Scharre,Melody Cook,Rin Rothback,Allison Francis,Jake Penders,Tim Fist,Josh Wallin,Michael Depp,and Noah Greene.The report was made possible with the generous support of Open Philanthropy.As a research and policy instituti

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本文主要讨论了人工智能(AI)的灾难性风险及其对国家安全的影响。文章首先区分了灾难性风险和存在性风险,指出灾难性风险更接近于国家安全专业人员关注的范围。接着,文章提出了四个影响AI灾难性风险的维度:新技术能力、技术安全挑战、AI与复杂系统的整合以及AI发展的条件。最后,文章建议政府、企业和记者在讨论AI风险时应更精确,并提出了应对AI灾难性风险的建议。
人工智能的灾难性风险是什么? 人工智能如何影响国家安全? 如何有效应对人工智能的灾难性风险?
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