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Dii:2026年中东和北非地区能源展望报告:可再生能源、氢能与储能产业发展分析(中译版)(23页).pdf

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1、Renewables,Hydrogen and Energy Storage developments in the MENA regionMENA Energy Outlook 2026MENA Energy Outlook 2026MENA Energy Outlook 202632Executive Summary ContentsFor over 16 years,Dii Desert Energy has served as a driving force for the Middle East and North Africa(MENA)regions energy transit

2、ion.Our mission includes enabling clean energy projects and infrastructure,fostering market creation and partnerships,as well as providing secure information systems to ensure the integrity and efficiency of the energy transformation.To this end,Dii maintains a unique proprietary database tracking a

3、ll relevant physical assets along the clean energy value chain.The energy transformation in the MENA region is moving at a pace that puts it well ahead of even recent predictions.This 2026 Outlook serves as a critical update to our previous report,reflecting the speed of market evolution over the la

4、st 12 months.As of end-2025,the regions operational renewable capacity has surged to 43.7 GW,marking a record addition of 13.4 GW(+44%)in just 12 months.This expansion is primarily driven by Solar PV,which reached 34.5 GW,followed by 7.4 GW of Wind capacity and approximately 1.8 GW of Concentrated S

5、olar Power(CSP).At the same time,this growth is accompanied by a strategic rationalization of targets in certain countries.As we close 2025,the regions actual project pipeline has surged to 202 GW,a figure that not only exceeds our previous Conservative baseline but has already surpassed the Balance

6、d Transition scenario we forecasted just one year ago(165 GW).This volume now nearly matches the regions aggregated 2030 national ambitions of 235 GW,significantly narrowing the implementation gap.Crucially,this pipeline is maturing:38 GW is now officially under construction.Consequently,this 2026 O

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1. **可再生能源加速发展**:MENA地区2025年可再生能源装机达43.7GW(+44%),其中光伏34.5GW、风电7.4GW。项目 pipeline增至202GW,接近2030年235GW国家目标,38GW已开工。 2. **成本创新低**:沙特光伏LCOE达1.09美分/kWh,风电1.33美分/kWh,创全球纪录。 3. **储能市场扩张**:2025年储能装机25GWh,预计2030年达156GWh(CAGR 44%),电池占比升至73%。 4. **氢能进展缓慢**:127个氢项目 pipeline,仅5个达财务闭环(如NEOM项目),2030年10Mtpa目标面临执行瓶颈,缺乏长期购销协议。 5. **区域合作深化**:南氢走廊管道连接北非与欧洲,电气互联项目(如ELMED)推进,MENA定位全球清洁能源出口枢纽。
**MENA能源增速?** **绿氢瓶颈何在?** **储能市场前景?**
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