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世邦魏理仕(CBRE):2026年第二季度新西兰住宅估价师洞察报告(英文版)(12页).pdf

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1、REPORTCBRE RESEARCHJUNE 2026Q2 2026 Residential Valuer InsightsIntelligent Investment2CBRE RESEARCH 2026 CBRE,INC.Intelligent InvestmentQ1 2026 Residential Valuer InsightsCBREs Q2 2026 Residential Valuations Property Market survey received 51 responses from CBRE Valuers around New Zealand.In this re

2、port we delve into the latest housing market insights,giving us a detailed understanding of the dynamic residential real estate landscape.Executive SummarySofter housing market demandDemand for housing in New Zealand has experienced a downward shift between Q1 2026 and Q2 2026,with fewer valuers rep

3、orting balanced or strong market conditions in their respective areas and more reporting softness in their local housing market demand.Little growth expected for lifestyle propertiesOverall sentiment remains steady for lifestyle properties,with 72%of valuers expecting prices to remain stable over th

4、e next 12 months.Growth expectations have eased since last quarter,however expectations of moderately strong growth have emerged in certain markets.First home buyers strengthened their dominanceFirst home buyers remained the most active buyer profile among all areas.For the first three quarters of 2

5、025 they were reported as a top 4 buyer group for over 90%of valuers.In our most recent survey this has strengthened to a record 98%.Housing values are expected to remain stable Two thirds(68%)of valuers surveyed expect house values in their area to remain stable in the next 12 months.For valuers wi

6、th a non mainstream view,more are expecting a slight fall rather than a slight increase in value.Vacant land expected to be mostly stableAlthough market conditions have been difficult in the past few years,72%of valuers expect vacant land values in their area to remain stable over the next 12 months

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1. **市场需求放缓**:Q2 2026新西兰住房需求较Q1下降,56%估值师认为市场平衡(Q1为72%),22%认为需求疲软(Q1为10%),无人认为需求强劲。 2. **首次购房者主导**:98%估值师首次购房者最活跃(Q1为90%),升级购房者比例从56%降至14%。 3. **房价预期稳定**:68%估值师预计未来12个月房价稳定,20%预期下跌(Q1为6%),仅12%预期上涨(2025年超50%)。 4. **独立住宅需求增**:31%估值师报告独立住宅需求上升,翻新新房需求增加,未翻新及土地需求下降。 5. **供应预期趋稳**:未来12个月供应预期变化不大,更多估值师认为供应将维持现状,部分区域(如北地、怀卡托)预期供应略降。
房价会跌吗? 首购者为何强势? 哪类房更抢手?
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