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ITIF:2026美国制造业初创企业萎缩与产业发展困境研究报告(中译版)(19页).pdf

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1、 itif.org Declining Manufacturing Births Contribute to US Manufacturing Woes TRELYSA LONG|JUNE 2026 Manufacturing start-ups,particularly in critical national economic power industries,are essential to the nations economic and security strength.Yet,U.S.manufacturing start-ups have declined over the l

2、ast three decades.KEY TAKEAWAYS U.S.manufacturing start-ups are declining at a time when all other start-ups are growing.From 1989 to 2023,U.S.manufacturing start-ups declined 58 percent from an index of 100 to 42.5.All other start-ups grew from 100 to 104.6.Most of the decline occurred prior to 200

3、9 and appears related to the significant drop in U.S.manufacturing competitiveness.Manufacturing start-ups have declined faster than total manufacturing firms.From 1989 to 2023,manufacturing start-ups declined from an index of 100 to 42.5,while total manufacturing firms declined from 100 to 74.8.The

4、 average manufacturing start-up is now smaller.Manufacturing start-ups average number of employees fell from 9.2 in 1989 to 7.7 in 2023.Dual-use,enabling,and nonstrategic industries had very similar rates of decline,ranging from 57 percent to 60 percent.In contrast,defense industries had a much smal

5、ler rate at 45 percent.The is likely due to facing much less overseas competition.Manufacturing start-ups have not declined because of growing industry concentration,as 82.3 percent of manufacturing industries saw a decline or slight increase(5 percent)in concentration.To avoid losing more manufactu

6、ring strength to China in economic power industries,the United States should set a national goal of at least doubling the annual number of manufacturing start-ups in its economy.INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|JUNE 2026 PAGE 2 CONTENTS Key Takeaways.1 Introduction.2 Manufacturing Start-

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1. **制造业初创企业大幅下降**:1989-2023年,美国制造业初创企业数量下降58%(指数从100降至42.5),而其他行业初创企业增长4.6%(指数升至104.6)。 2. **关键行业同步衰退**:军民两用、赋能及非战略行业初创企业下降57%-60%,仅国防行业下降45%(因海外竞争较少)。 3. **初创企业规模缩小**:平均员工数从9.2人降至7.7人(-16%)。 4. **贸易逆差是主因**:2009年前,制造业初创企业下降与贸易逆差扩大(GDP占比+69%)高度相关。 5. **行业集中度非主因**:82.3%的制造业行业集中度下降或增幅<5%,且企业平均规模缩小。 6. **政策建议**:目标到2030年将制造业初创企业数量翻倍(至23,000家),加强资本支持与技术转移。
**制造业衰退原因?** **创业潮为何退去?** **如何重振制造业?**
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