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Nuclear Scaling Initiative: 2026全球核能扩容发展战略研究报告(中译版)(20页).pdf

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1、A Global Strategy for Nuclear Energy Expansionnuclearscaling.orgCONTENTSExecutive Summary.1What Is at Stake .2Why NSI .4Objectives and Strategy .5Driving Toward the Next Phase of Nuclear Energy Expansion in the United States and Central and Eastern Europe.7United States.7Central and Eastern Europe w

2、ithin the European Union .10NSIs 20252026 Work Plan .14Endnotes.16nuclearscaling.org 1Executive SummaryNuclear energy can help address the pressing global need for reliable,affordable heat and power to fuel economic growth,while also delivering progress on climate commitments and energy security.But

3、 the world has not moved with sufficient conviction to achieve the full promise of nuclear energythat would require a tenfold increase in annual deployment compared to current levels.The Nuclear Scaling Initiative(NSI)is a collaborative effort of Clean Air Task Force(CATF),the EFI Foundation(EFIF),a

4、nd the Nuclear Threat Initiative(NTI)to build a new nuclear energy ecosystem that can quickly and economically scale to more than 50 gigawatts(GW)of safe and secure nuclear energy per year by the 2030s.The teams plan for revolutionizing how nuclear energy is constructed,financed,and regulated will a

5、dvance climate goals,spark economic development,expand energy access,and ensure that nuclear technology is used for only peaceful purposes.Over the next two years,NSI will embark on the first phase of this work in Central and Eastern Europe(CEE)and the United States with an approach that emphasizes

6、aggregated demand;multistakeholder risk-sharing;cohesive action by policymakers,the private sector,and civil society;accelerated deployment timelines;integrated supply chains;and strong nonproliferation and security practices.NSI plans to broaden its scope to support the expansion of nuclear energy

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1. **目标与愿景**:核能规模化倡议(NSI)旨在2030年代实现年部署超50吉瓦(GW)安全核能,助力经济增长、气候承诺和能源安全。 2. **核心挑战**:全球需新增约1200吉瓦核能(相当于每年建50座大型反应器),但当前项目存在成本超支、延迟及供应链瓶颈。 3. **解决方案**: - **需求聚合**:通过“买家俱乐部”形成稳定订单,推动标准化设计降本(如韩国、阿联酋案例显示成本降50%)。 - **风险分担**:公私合作机制(如成本超支担保、价格稳定合同)降低投资风险。 - **监管优化**:协调国际审批流程,加速技术部署。 4. **区域重点**:首阶段聚焦美国(电力需求激增)和中东欧(能源安全与脱碳),后续扩展至非洲、中东等地区。 5. **非扩散原则**:优先选择防扩散燃料循环(如一次通过式燃料),确保核技术和平利用。
核能如何扩张? 核能风险如何控? 核能未来在哪?
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