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普华永道：2026适配“发达印度”愿景的未来型炼油厂研究报告：打造具备韧性、竞争力与可持续发展能力的炼油产业（中译版）（37页）.pdf

上传人： 小*** 编号：1271973 2026-06-29 37页 11.70MB

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1、From creative heads to brand architects:The agentic AI playbook for modern CMOs1PwCFuture-ready refineries for Viksit BharatBuilding resilient,competitive,and sustainable refineriesJune 2026ForewordIndias refining sector is at pivotal point as the upgraded with a sharper focus on flexibility,country

2、 is on a growth trajectory with rising efficiency,and emissions performance,while mobility needs and industrial expansion,maintaining cost competitiveness.Greenfield reinforcing its position to become a major refining projects should be designed with long-term hub while the sector is being reshaped

3、by new optionality in focus.This entire transformation is set of structural forces:growing petrochemical redefined by technologies like advanced digital demand,operational resilience,and net-zero operations,low-carbon utilities,green hydrogen,goals.With this context,the growth trajectory and alterna

4、tive feedstocks.is no longer only about whether refineries will As Indian refiners seek to balance three priorities transform,but also about how quickly and that will define the sectors next chapter:effectively they can transform.energy security,affordability,and sustainability,This paper,Future-rea

5、dy refineries for Viksit the leaders of this transition will be those Bharat,explores this transformation through with a more integrated view of value creation Indian refiners lensand how they respond moving beyond the incremental change.This to this shift.It is not only about building more will req

6、uire coordinated efforts across policy,capacities but shifting from traditional fuel-infrastructure,and technology ecosystems with focused refinery to integrated petrochemical capital allocation.This needs further push from refineries,to be smarter and future ready through leadership teams with deli

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1. **印度炼油业转型背景**：印度炼油产能258.1 MMTPA（全球第四），面临能源安全、可负担性和可持续性三重挑战，石油需求预计从2024年5.6 mb/d增至2030年6.6 mb/d。 2. **从燃料向化工转型**：化工需求增速（2倍于燃料）推动炼厂整合，印度计划2030年化工产能达46 MMTPA（2024年为29.6 MT），当前80%化工产能与炼厂集成。 3. **数字化与AI驱动**：通过实时优化（RTO）、预测性维护等AI技术，可降低能耗2-5%、减少非计划停机20%，提升炼厂竞争力。 4. **脱碳路径**： - 绿氢：NGHM目标2030年生产5 MMTPA绿氢，当前炼厂氢需求6.76 MMTPA（99.5%为灰氢）。 - 燃料切换：锅炉从燃料油/石油焦转向天然气或绿氢，可减少CO₂排放25-30%。 - 可再生能源：炼厂工业能耗占比约30%，推广太阳能和CHP（热电联产）可降低Scope 2排放。 5. **未来炼厂模式**：灵活、韧性、可选性为核心，C2C（原油转化学品）技术（如Reliance Jamnagar）提升高附加值产品占比，目标化工强度达70%+。
炼厂转型方向？ 数字化如何增效？ 减排路径有哪些？
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