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奥纬咨询:2026资本流向:私募市场规模扩张竞赛研究报告(英文版)(12页).pdf

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1、The race for scale in private marketsCAPITAL CURRENTS Oliver Wyman2Capital Currents is a cross-industry series focused on distilling the key trends in M&A and identifying how management teams can capture value.Oliver Wyman3Private markets are becoming one of the most active areas for dealmaking acro

2、ss asset management.While traditional asset classes continue to face fee pressure and slower growth,private markets assets under management(AuM)are expected to grow at about 12%per annum over the next five years,compared with about 8%for liquid asset classes,reinforcing the strategic importance of p

3、rivate markets franchises for asset managers.Exhibit 1:Market remains fragmented:number of General Partners(GPs)by strategy and AuM2025AuMNumber of GPsAuMNumber of GPs1%1.4%$50 BNNatural capitalAuMNumber of GPsReal estate48%95%10%17%25%$4.9 TNInfrastructure35%2%$16.3 TN51%8%21%20%17.7 K97%0.3%1.3%$3

4、.8 TN42%7%28%23%2.0 K4.8 K87%5%7%Private equityAuMNumber of GPsAuMNumber of GPsPrivate credit2%$3.4 TN$0.6 TN37%7%21%2%2%5%3%9%6%83%16%21%9%53%90%1.1 K0.5 K1%Source:eVestment,Preqin,Oliver Wyman analysis Oliver Wyman4Against this backdrop,private markets are entering a new phase of consolidation.As

5、scale,multi-asset capabilities,and underwriting sophistication become increasingly decisive,competitive advantages are concentrating among a smaller group of large,integrated platforms.Yet,despite rapid growth,the market remains highly fragmented,with many firms still operating as single-strategy GP

6、s.As asset managers seek to close capability gaps and strengthen fundraising relevance,M&A is emerging as one of the fastest paths to build broader and more resilient private markets franchises.Private markets transaction value grew at over 45%per annum between 2023 and 2025,and we expect this conso

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1. 私人市场整合加速:2023-2025年交易价值年均增长超45%,预计整合浪潮将持续。 2. 规模与能力成关键:管理规模超100亿美元的GP募资占比从2000-2005年42%升至2020-2025年54%;头部GP活跃产品数量较2005年增长6倍。 3. 价值创造五驱动:收入增长(如BlackRock/Global Infrastructure Partners)、利润扩张(如Brookfield/Oaktree)、估值提升、GP alpha(业绩分成)、LP alpha(资产所有者回报)。 4. 成功并购需战略清晰:明确“为何并购”,严格筛选目标,深度尽调商业、投资引擎及人才文化,早期规划整合路径。
私募市场为何加速整合? 并购如何创造价值? 成功并购的关键是什么?
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