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英国制造商组织（Make UK）：2026年第二季度英国制造业展望报告（中译版）（25页）.pdf

上传人： 小*** 编号：1269713 2026-06-22 25页 4.02MB

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1、MANUFACTURINGOUTLOOKQUARTER 2 2026With support from:and Manufacturing NIManufacturing Outlook Quarter 1 2025Manufacturing Outlook Quarter 2 20262ForewordFour years ago,British manufacturing suffered the worst energy market disruption seen for decades brought about by Russias invasion of Ukraine.At t

2、he time,soaring wholesale energy prices served to compound an already inflationary environment for British manufacturers,which saw the highest ever recorded balance figures for price-setting behaviour in Manufacturing Outlooks over thirty-year history.To give a sense of the significance of this shoc

3、k,the scale of this price-increasing activity in the industry was so severe that the economics team here at Make UK had to re-scale chart templates to accommodate the soaring data.Now,years on,the sector finds itself in an all too familiar predicament,with energy once again a driving force of hardsh

4、ip.The combination of factors that brought such difficulty to the sector in 2022 are bemusingly similar to those today.A war in a country in which the UK is not a belligerent,the wholesale cost of energy rapidly rising and wider business cost increases despite little evidence of economic growth.So w

5、hat must manufacturers do?For better or for worse,the sector is now well-versed in industrial crises over the past decade,but it also means we have a stronger intuition than ever before of what will likely happen next.We can already see in this edition of the report that the sector is cutting its in

6、vestment plans.This serves to further fuel a pessimistic outlook right the way into 2027 where growth isnt even forecast to be in single digit territory.Previously,when the sector has faced similar circumstances in the past decade,the first move has been to protect cash.This isnt limited to the curt

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1. **经济困境与能源成本**：英国制造业面临能源价格飙升、通胀压力及地缘政治冲突（如中东战争、美国关税）的冲击，工业成本全球最高，利润率持续下降（UK margins -15%，export margins -6%）。 2. **产出与订单韧性**：尽管信心降至2022年来最低（6.0），Q2产出增长+26%（连续三季超+20%），总订单+18%，但出口订单锐减至+8%（受中东冲突及美国关税影响）。 3. **投资与就业分化**：投资意愿骤降至+8%（较前季-12个百分点），但就业增长+15%（受高工资及《就业权利法》拖累）。企业通过提价（UK prices +36%）转嫁成本，但 margins 仍承压。 4. **区域与行业差异**：电子行业表现突出（出口价+38%），但基础金属行业产出暴跌-9.6%；东英格兰信心最低（4.8），威尔士最高（7.0）。 5. **政策呼吁**：政府需紧急干预工业能源成本，以控制通胀并维持竞争力。
**制造业困境** 英国制造业面临哪些主要挑战？ **能源危机** 能源成本如何影响制造业利润？ **投资趋势** 制造业为何大幅削减投资计划？
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