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美国农业部(USDA):2026澳大利亚乳制品市场半年度报告(中译版)(33页).pdf

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:June 08,2026 Report Number:AS2026-0012 Report Name:Dairy and Products Semi-annual Country:Australia Po

2、st:Canberra Report Category:Dairy and Products Prepared By:Zeljko Biki Approved By:Lazaro Sandoval Report Highlights:Australias milk production in 2026 is estimated to increase by 1.4 percent to 8.6 million metric tons,following a 2.1 percent decrease in 2025.This is a partial recovery after drought

3、 conditions impacted southwest Victoria and South Australia.This milk production growth is supported by firm farmgate milk prices,improved seasonal conditions,and relatively low feed grain costs.Domestic fluid milk consumption in 2026 is expected to decline by 0.5 percent,continuing a long-term down

4、ward trend.Factory-use milk consumption is projected to increase by 1.8 percent,largely reflecting the anticipated rise in milk production.Consequently,output of manufactured dairy products is expected to increase modestly.Exports of fluid milk,cheese,skim milk powder and butter are projected to inc

5、rease in 2026.At the same time,imports of cheese and butter are expected to reach record levels,driven by strong growth in shipments from the United States.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Australias milk production in 2026 is estimated to increase by 1.4 percent to 8.60 million metric tons(MMT),following a notabl

6、e 2.1 percent decline in 2025.The increase represents a partial recovery from drought conditions that affected southwest Victoria,one of Australias major dairy-producing regions,and South Australia.Improved seasonal conditions,firm farmgate milk prices announced for the 2026/27 season,and relatively

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1. **牛奶生产**:2026年澳大利亚牛奶产量预计增至860万吨,同比增1.4%,受干旱缓解、奶价坚挺及饲料成本下降支撑,但厄尔尼诺风险存不确定性。 2. **消费趋势**:国内液态奶消费降0.5%至240万吨,工厂用奶增1.8%至600.6万吨,奶酪生产占比升至61%(全国牛奶池)和42%(制造用奶)。 3. **贸易动态**: - 出口:液态奶、奶酪、脱脂奶粉出口分别增10%、1.7%、1.9%,全脂奶粉出口降20%。 - 进口:奶酪、黄油进口创纪录,美国取代新西兰成最大供应国,分别占奶酪进口35.6%、黄油21.4%。 4. **产品结构**:奶酪产量增1.8%至45.5万吨,黄油产量持平6万吨,脱脂奶粉增4千吨至18万吨,全脂奶粉稳2.5万吨。
**澳奶产量增多少?** **奶酪进口创新高?** **奶粉出口去哪了?**
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