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未来投资倡议研究所:2025全球未来就业报告(第二辑)-依托技术革新与人才转型赋能拉丁美洲(英文版)(68页).pdf

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1、GLOBALFUTURE OFWORK REPORTSERIES 2FEBRUARY 2025EMPOWERING LATIN AMERICA THROUGH TECHNOLOGY AND TALENT TRANSFORMATIONPREFACE0301PRODUCTIVITY,TECHNOLOGY,AND THE FUTURE OF WORK IN THE GLOBAL NORTH AND SOUTH1102A TALE OF TWO AMERICAS:OPPORTUNITY IN A DISRUPTIVE ERA1903PAVING THE WAY FOR A MORE PRODUCTIV

2、E ERA IN LATIN AMERICA49TECHNICAL APPENDIX60KNOWLEDGE PARTNERCover and interior images Getty imagesEXECUTIVE SUMMARY04GLOBAL FUTURE OF WORK REPORT:SERIES 2:EMPOWERING LATIN AMERICA THROUGH TECHNOLOGY AND TALENT TRANSFORMATION2FII IS DELIGHTED to launch the second edition of the Global Future of Work

3、 Report,which examines the state of labor markets around the world and the potential impact of advanced technologies on the future of work.The first edition,Preparing Labor Markets in MENA for a New Technological Era,identified significant economic differences and opportunities between the Global No

4、rth and Global South,with a particular focus on countries in the Middle East and North Africa(MENA).This second edition looks at the economies of 19 Latin American and Caribbean1 countries(Argentina,Bolivia,Brazil,Chile,Colombia,Costa Rica,Dominican Republic,Ecuador,El Salvador,Guatemala,Honduras,Ja

5、maica,Mexico,Nicaragua,Panama,Paraguay,Peru,Trinidad and Tobago,and Uruguay)and their American neighbors to the north,the United States and Canada,including primary research in six Latin American countries,the United States,and Canada.It explores Latin Americas loss of economic momentum relative to

6、the US and Canada,including the increasing gap in productivity growth and human capital development.It also examines the readiness of Latin American countries to adopt modern technologies,including automation and AI,that have the potential to restore their competitiveness.It concludes by exploring w

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1. **经济差距扩大**:拉美19国GDP(5.4万亿美元)仅为美加(23.8万亿美元)的23%,人均GDP差距达7倍,且过去25年拉美生产率增速(0.7%)远低于美加(1.6%)。 2. **技术 adoption 滞后**:拉美AI准备指数(0.43)和数字基础设施指数(0.1)显著低于美加(0.74/0.19),研发投入占比(0.62%)仅为美加(3.0%)的五分之一。 3. **劳动力挑战**:80%经济增长依赖就业增长,但劳动力增长放缓,且50%就业为非正式岗位;高等教育入学率(58%)低于美加(77%-79%)。 4. **技术机遇**:若自动化率达中点,拉美可提升生产率1.9%-2.3%,但需80%-100%的工作时重新配置;42%拉美青年对AI感兴趣,93%愿用技术创业。 5. **区域分化**:拉美分“领先”(73%人口)、“减速”(23%)、“挑战”(4%)三类经济体,需通过技能培训、数字基建和公私合作推动转型。
拉美经济差距 技术赋能拉美 劳动力转型挑战
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