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波士顿大学:中国–非洲经济公报(2026年版)(中译版)(44页).pdf

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1、MAY 2026Global Development Policy CenterBY MENGDI YUE,TERRENCE KAIRIZA,YIYUAN QI AND ABBI KEDIRChina-AfricaEconomic Bulletin 2026 EDITIONMengdi Yue is a Research Fellow for the energy and climate workstream at the Boston University Global Development Policy Center.She earned her masters degree in in

2、ternational relations and international economics from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies(SAIS).She previously worked as an academic researcher at International Institute of Green Finance(IIGF)and Fudan University,contributing to academic and policy discussions on

3、green finance,debt sustainability,BRI infrastructure and global development dynamics.Abbi M.Kedir is the Interim Executive Director and the Director of Research at the African Economic Research Consortium(AERC).In addition to long years of services in UK academia,he has experience working both in go

4、vernment and international organizations,such as the United Nations as well as consulting experience with the World Bank and African Development Bank.He published more than 45 journal articles.He is editorial board member of Journal of Development Studies;Journal of Entrepreneurial Behaviour and Res

5、earch;Economies;and Frontiers in Environmental Science.Abbi is currently a member of the Task Force on Climate,Development and the International Monetary Fund.Terrence Kairiza is a Lecturer in the Department of Economics at Bindura University of Science Education and a Research Fellow at the African

6、 Economic Research Consortium.His research focuses on development economics,with particular interests in gender,climate change adaptation,food security,agriculture,health,and industrial development.He holds a PhD in Development Economics from the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies,Japan.

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1. **贸易创新高**:2024年中非贸易达2750亿美元,中国占非洲出口16%、进口28%,19国以中国为最大出口目的地。 2. **FDI反弹**:2023-2024年中国对非绿地FDI回升至137亿和86亿美元,主投工业(如埃及钾肥厂、摩洛哥电动车)和矿业。 3. **贷款锐减**:中国对非贷款承诺额自2020年降至年均不足50亿美元,2023-2024年分别仅46.1亿和21亿美元,转向金融和基建领域。 4. **债务压力**:2024年非洲对华净资本流转负,2026-2030年债务偿付将占政府支出平均11.2%,挤占发展资金。 5. **能源转型**:中国对非非水电可再生能源贷款仅17亿美元(2000-2024),但零关税政策覆盖53国,推动清洁技术出口(2024年98亿美元)。
**中非贸易新趋势?** **中国投资非洲变了吗?** **非洲债务危机何解?**
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