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指导电池优化算法走向成功.pdf

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1、Hands on The WheelGuiding Battery Optimization Algorithms for SuccessMartin Chown,Senior Energy AnalystMarch 25,20262Copyright Ascend Analytics.Do not duplicate or distribute without written permission from Ascend Analytics.ERCOTCAISOPJMSmartBidder is used by more than 30 customers across 3 ISOs in

2、the U.S.to manage energy and ancillary bidding for standalone storage,hybrid and co-located storage facilities with wind and solar.With a staff of 35+,we support 4.8 GW of contracted capacity across ERCOT,CAISO,and PJM.SmartBidder in 3 ISOs managing 60 assets/4.8GW of Storage3Copyright Ascend Analyt

3、ics.Do not duplicate or distribute without written permission from Ascend Analytics.Humans Can Directly Enter The SmartBidder LoopFORECAST prices leveraging market fundamentsOPTIMIZE to maximize revenue subject to constraintsBID and OFFER via opportunity-cost frameworkHumans toggle optimization cons

4、traintsHumans override bids and offersHumans upload their own price forecasts*4Copyright Ascend Analytics.Do not duplicate or distribute without written permission from Ascend Analytics.Optimization and Bidding Exist to Manage Forecast ErrorForecast Forecast ErrorsErrorsOptimization Optimization Con

5、straints Constraints SmartBidder Core Philosophies Leverage market fundamentals data to create best-in-class price forecasts Modulate optimization constraints and parameters to account for inevitable forecast error Utilize opportunity cost-based bids and offers to maximize revenue despite forecast i

6、naccuracies BESS BESS RevenueRevenue5Copyright Ascend Analytics.Do not duplicate or distribute without written permission from Ascend Analytics.Potential Scarcity Conditions(10%)00.511.522.533.5-1001020304050607080Forecast Error and FrequencyDay-Ahead Net Load Forecast(GW)Relative Forecast Error vs

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1. SmartBidder服务超30家客户,管理ERCOT、CAISO、PJM三大ISO的60个资产,总容量4.8GW。 2. 核心哲学:利用市场基本面数据优化价格预测,通过调整约束参数应对预测误差,基于机会成本最大化收益。 3. 人类可介入优化循环:调整约束参数、覆盖报价、上传自定义预测。 4. 策略对比:正常市场“信任机器”策略收益更高(+12%);稀缺市场“手动调控”策略收益显著提升(+121%),且平均荷电状态(SoC)更高,降低风险。 5. 客户可通过UI直接修改优化参数,提升管理灵活性。
**如何提升储能收益?** **预测误差如何影响优化?** **人机协作如何管理风险?**
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