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波士顿咨询(BCG):2026依托东盟区域电网构建东盟能源安全体系研究报告(中译版)(18页).pdf

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1、Wiring ASEAN for Energy Security through the ASEAN Power GridMay 2026 By Marko LackovicBoston Consulting Group partners with leaders in business and society to tackle their most important challenges and capture their greatest opportunities.BCG was the pioneer in business strategy when it was founded

2、 in 1963.Today,we work closely with clients to embrace a transformational approach aimed at benefiting all stakeholdersempowering organizations to grow,build sustainable competitive advantage,and drive positive societal impact.Our diverse,global teams bring deep industry and functional expertise and

3、 a range of perspectives that question the status quo and spark change.BCG delivers solutions through leading-edge management consulting,technology and design,and corporate and digital ventures.We work in a uniquely collaborative model across the firm and throughout all levels of the client organiza

4、tion,fueled by the goal of helping our clients thrive and enabling them to make the world a better place.BOSTON CONSULTING GROUPWIRING ASEAN FOR ENERGY SECURITY THROUGH THE ASEAN POWER GRID 3Table of contentsExecutive Summary 4A New Phase for the ASEAN Power Grid 5ASEANs energy challenges are bigger

5、 than just transmission 6ASEANs grid has been strategically right for decades,but institutionally underbuilt 7The grid turns ASEAN diversity into advantage 9The Nordic grid:what regional integration looks like in practice 10Closing the missing middle of ASEAN Power Grid delivery 11A regional grid on

6、ly works if national systems are ready to use it 11In more volatile global energy markets,regional power trade becomes a strategic hedge 13ASEAN can move faster by standardizing what matters and sequencing what is possible 14The choice is not whether to connect,but when 16 About the Authors 16BOSTON

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1. **战略必要性**:东盟电网(APG)从外交愿景转为战略必需,旨在应对能源主权与区域整合的矛盾,通过互联互通降低对进口燃料依赖,提升能源安全与竞争力。 2. **核心数据**:2024年电网传输容量7700兆瓦,计划扩容至17550兆瓦;2025-2040年需超3000亿美元电网投资;东盟电力需求年增3%-4%,占全球增量25%以上。 3. **关键挑战**:电网建设滞后于战略逻辑,因商业、监管及融资机制不成熟,仅8个18个互联项目 operational,容量2.8吉瓦。 4. **区域价值**:利用资源互补性(如新加坡进口、老挝出口)提升韧性、降低成本,支持可再生能源转型(2030年可再生能源占比目标45%)。 5. **行动路径**:需优先投资国内电网升级、标准化市场规则,分阶段推进,避免等待完全政策协调。
电网如何保障安全? 东南亚能源困境何解? 区域互联有何优势?
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