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道富银行State Street(STT):2025年私募市场展望报告:在波动中取胜(英文版)(29页).pdf

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1、Scott Carpenter,Jesse Cole and James RedgraveDriving success in volatile environments2025 PRIVATE MARKETS OUTLOOKBeginWere excited to bring you our fourth annual State Street Private Markets Study.Our aim with this study is to do something other research in this space does not:To bring comprehensive

2、 analysis of the most significant and timely private markets developments in a way that ties together the ways in which market trends in asset allocation and fundraising drive internal operational developments,and vice versa.Of course,the top down macro and regulatory environments set the context fo

3、r both themes.Since we started running this research in 2021,private markets have shown remarkable resilience in their attractiveness to investors,against a series of macroeconomic challenges.The COVID 19 pandemic that formed the backdrop to our first survey seems a long time ago now,as do the infla

4、tion and high interest rates that followed in its aftermath,forcing investors and managers to adapt their strategies and models.Today,we see the prospect of sustained tariff-driven trade dislocation and its consequences for global growth present a new set of considerations for the industry to naviga

5、te.Yet allocation plans to almost all private markets sub asset classes continue to grow in the near and medium term.Many of the adaptations organizations have already made to earlier challenges improved deal analysis and due diligence capabilities,technology-led portfolio data management upgrades,d

6、iversification of distribution channels look set to promise continuing benefits from high-quality private markets investments in portfolio allocation.Whats new in this research is a recognition that the demand for these asset classes from the individual investor sphere via“democratization,”and the p

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1. **民主化加速**:55%受访者认为未来1-2年,半数以上私募市场募资将通过半流动性零售型产品(2024年仅14%),其中私募股权(42%)和私募信贷(25%)最受益。 2. **质量优先**:机构转向精选投资,3-5年内私募/公募资产配置比例预计达42%/58%(2024年GP预期45%),新兴市场投资兴趣下降(如亚太新兴市场从25%降至14%)。 3. **AI驱动变革**:83%机构认可生成式AI(GenAI)分析非结构化数据的价值,用于投资绩效分析(63%)和公司报告解析(48%),但仅8%已实际应用。 4. **宏观环境挑战**:关税政策加剧不确定性,私募市场因低波动性(42%受访者视其为避险优势)及与政治议程(如本土化)的协同性仍具吸引力。
私募市场新趋势? AI如何赋能私募? 零售化私募可行吗?
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