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国际交通论坛(ITF):2026愿景导向型交通规划:政策制定者操作指南(中译版)(80页).pdf

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1、Research Report Vision-Led Transport Planning A Guide for Policymakers RoundtableVision-Led Transport Planning A Guide for PolicymakersResearch Report ii VISION-LED TRANSPORT PLANNING OECD/ITF 2026 The International Transport Forum The International Transport Forum is an intergovernmental organisati

2、on with 69 member countries.It acts as a think tank for transport policy and organises the Annual Summit of transport ministers.The ITF is the only global body that covers all transport modes.The ITF is politically autonomous and administratively integrated with the OECD.The ITF works for transport

3、policies that improve peoples lives.Our mission is to foster a deeper understanding of the role of transport in economic growth,environmental sustainability and social inclusion and to raise the public profile of transport policy.The ITF organises global dialogue for better transport.We act as a pla

4、tform for discussion and pre-negotiation of policy issues across all transport modes.We analyse trends,share knowledge and promote exchange among transport decision makers and civil society.The ITFs Annual Summit is the worlds largest gathering of transport ministers and the leading global platform

5、for dialogue on transport policy.The Members of the Forum are:Albania,Argentina,Armenia,Australia,Austria,Azerbaijan,Belarus,Belgium,Bosnia and Herzegovina,Brazil,Bulgaria,Cambodia,Canada,Chile,China(Peoples Republic of),Colombia,Costa Rica,Croatia,Czechia,Denmark,Dominican Republic,Estonia,Finland,

6、France,Georgia,Germany,Greece,Hungary,Iceland,India,Ireland,Israel,Italy,Japan,Kazakhstan,Korea,Latvia,Liechtenstein,Lithuania,Luxembourg,Malta,Mexico,Republic of Moldova,Mongolia,Montenegro,Morocco,the Netherlands,New Zealand,North Macedonia,Norway,Oman,Poland,Portugal,Romania,Russian Federation,Sa

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1. **核心定义**:愿景导向交通规划(Vision-Led Transport Planning)以明确的社会愿景为核心,通过“决定-提供”(decide-and-provide)模式,将交通决策与未来社会目标(如可持续性、包容性)绑定,区别于传统预测驱动方法。 2. **适用场景**:适用于中长期、深度不确定性(如技术变革、社会转型)下的交通规划,如英国曼彻斯特“Right Mix”战略(2040年50%出行采用步行/骑行/公交)和奥地利2030年国家交通规划。 3. **关键工具**:需结合战略预见工具(如芬兰“未来报告”)、情景建模、多准则决策分析(MCDA)等,管理不确定性并协调多方利益。 4. **实施机制**:依赖跨部门协作治理(如奥斯陆公民论坛)和多年期资金框架(如瑞士铁路投资),通过自适应编程(adaptive programming)动态调整政策。 5. **核心数据**:ITF报告涵盖69个成员国,强调交通需平衡“三重可达性”(mobility、proximity、virtuality),以应对气候变化和社会公平挑战。
规划新思路? 未来如何规划? 规划如何落地?
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