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Winterberry Group:2026年美国广告、营销和数据行业展望报告:持续演进(中译版)(37页).pdf

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1、Outlook for Advertising,Marketing and Data 2026:Continuous EvolutionBruce Biegel,Senior Managing PartnerJanuary 15,2026AboutWinterberry GroupA specialized management consultancy that offers more than two decades of experience and deep expertise in the intersecting disciplines of advertising,marketin

2、g,data,technology,media and commerce.Winterberry Group helps brands,publishers,marketing service providers,technology developers and information companiesplus the financial investors who support these organizationsunderstand emerging growth opportunities,create actionable strategies and increase the

3、ir value and global impact.2Looking Back at 2025A Year of Tariff Shock,Moderate Inflation,the Impact of AI But Surprisingly Stable Macroeconomic Conditions4Tension remained across an uncertain geo-political landscapeUS GDP growth outperformed early-year forecasts as inflation moderated and consumer

4、demand held upMarketers prioritize performance,supply chains stabilize(by year end)a very vertical specific year for spending Disinflation progressed,as inflation slowed but prices roseFed eases%across 3 rate cuts,but unemployment rises to 4.4%-Whats a Fed to do?A“do more with the same”with a fixati

5、on on short term budgeting.Stay nimble.YE ForecastMarketing Spend Growth Normalizes Closer To Historical GDP Ratios,Spend Growth Beats Inflation,Typical Non-Election Dip202020212022202320242025-4.3%-2.2%21.9%6.1%9.4%2.5%4.0%3.0%11.0%8.9%2.7%5.5%1.9%US Marketing and Advertising Spend GrowthUS GDP Gro

6、wthBenchmark:2x US GDP GrowthIncl.Political SpendingUS Marketing Spend Growth Benchmarked to GDP Growth(2020 2025E)5Source:Winterberry Group Spend analysis(2026)Review 2025:As Usual,Digital Drove Market Growth,Offline Decline Most Importantly Spend Is Moving Between Channels$281.3$310.9$356.3$395.7$

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1. **市场趋势**:2025年美国营销支出增长2.7%($6073亿),2026年预计增至9.4%($6642亿),受政治广告($108亿)和AI推动。 2. **渠道变化**:线上主导增长(2025年$3957亿,+8.9%),社交、视频、搜索领先;线下萎缩($2116亿),但2026年将反弹($2212亿,+4.0%),体验营销增长显著。 3. **数据与AI**:数据服务支出$304亿(+3.5%),AI聚焦代理化应用,但数据整合仍是瓶颈。 4. **行业动态**:2025年全球并购达$4.9万亿(+44%),PE交易占58%;创意智能(Creative Intelligence)成为提升效率关键,需打破组织与技术壁垒。 5. **挑战**:人才危机(初级招聘下降)、隐私合规复杂、广告技术优化压力持续。
**AI如何重塑营销?** **数据驱动增长秘诀?** **创意智能如何变现?**
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