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挪威船级社(DNV):2026能源转型展望:海湾地区油气脱碳当前项目与未来发展预测报告(中译版)(32页).pdf

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1、OIL AND GAS DECARBONIZATION IN THE GULF REGIONCurrent projects and a forecast of future developmentEnergy Transition Outlook 20262DNV Oil and gas decarbonization in the Gulf regionFOREWORDFor more than 160 years,DNVs purpose has been to safeguard life,property,and the environment.In the 1970s,we est

2、ablished a presence in Abu Dhabi to serve ADNOC and the oil and gas industry.We subsequently expanded into other Gulf Cooperation Council countries and are now involved in many of the regions flagship energy projects in oil and gas,renewables,energy storage,and power grids.We have supported the regi

3、ons energy sector by sharing knowledge and international best practices,including training on the latest technology trends.As a global classification and verification body,we ensure relevant standards and recommendations are followed.Our annual Energy Transition Outlook(ETO)and related reports contr

4、ibute research-based insights that assist our customers in their decision-making on the transition.Our recent transition-related work in the Gulf Region includes emerging CCS developments and other initiatives for mitigating GHG emissions.As we mark 50 years in the region,we are pleased to present t

5、his Outlook on decarbonization of the GCC oil and gas industry.As the region has moved decisively to strengthen its position as a leading global energy supplier,it has also established ambitious decarbonization goals.All GCC members now aim to reach net zero by 2050 or 2060.With emissions related to

6、 oil and gas production forming a significant share of national GHG inventories,decarbonizing this sector is essential for achieving national targets.We expect the GCC share of global oil and gas production,currently at 18%,to rise due to the regions low-cost production and its strategic location.Gl

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1. **GCC石油与天然气地位**:GCC国家占全球油气产量18%,预计因低成本和战略地位占比将上升,2050/2060年目标净零排放。 2. **脱碳路径**: - **电气化**:ADNOC等用可再生能源电力替代燃气,降低Scope 2排放(如ADNOC碳强度降至7kgCO2eq/boe)。 - **甲烷减排**:GCC企业承诺2030年消除常规燃烧,LDAR技术可削减75%甲烷排放。 3. **氢能与氨出口**: - 2060年MENA将年产19Mt H₂、13Mt NH₃,出口50%(主要输往欧、日、韩)。 - 低成本蓝氢(SMR+CCS)占67%,绿氢(电解)占41%,成本分别降至2.2美元/kg和2.4美元/kg。 4. **CCUS核心作用**: - GCC占MENA 98% CCUS项目,2040年捕获60MtCO₂/yr,2060年达250MtCO₂/yr(占区域能源排放8%)。 - 支持蓝氢生产,如ADNOC、Aramco、QatarEnergy主导项目。
油气如何减碳? 氢能出口前景? CCUS角色关键?
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