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保德信房地产:2026年全球房地产市场展望报告: 把握早期的价值投资机遇(英文版)(19页).pdf

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1、2026 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE VIEWS|PGIM 1Forecasts are not guaranteed and may not be a reliable indicator of future results.2026 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE VIEWS A COMPELLING VINTAGEFinding Value Early in the CycleFor professional investors only.All investments involve risk,including possible loss of capital.For

2、ecasts are not guaranteed and may not be a reliable indicator of future results.2 PGIM|2026 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE VIEWSFOREWORDCATHY MARCUSCo-Head&Global Chief Operating Officer Real EstateRAIMONDO AMABILECo-Head&Global Chief Investment Officer Real EstateWith 2026 off to an eventful start,were pleased

3、 to put the noise of market volatility and geopolitics into context and explain what it all means for real estate with our Global Real Estate Views,the latest thinking from our Investment Research team.We hope this provides the actionable guidance you need as you make your real estate allocation and

4、 selection decisions in an evolving macro environment.As we look at the market today,one thing is clear:The biggest risk we see for real estate is not the noise;it is sitting on the sidelines.There will never be a risk-free moment.This is precisely why high-quality real estate matters more in portfo

5、lios in this environment.It can provide durable income,income growth,and a stabilizing anchor when day-to-day public market volatility is elevated.In other parts of the financial market,especially equities,todays elevated price-to-earnings ratios leave little room for error and create a risk to futu

6、re returns.Real estate is in a different place.After a sharp correction and a slow,uneven recovery so far,we see todays lower values as setting up a meaningful tailwind for returns in the years ahead.We manage one of the largest and most diverse real estate platforms in the world and the signals are

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1. **新周期开启,房地产吸引力提升**:经历大幅调整后,2026年进入新周期,低估值将成为未来回报的顺风车,核心回报将依赖稳健的现金流和租金增长,而非收益率压缩。 2. **结构性需求驱动**:基本生活需求(住房、城市物流等)是核心基础,2025年全球60%收购活动聚焦于此;市场动力(资本结构调整、流动性改善)提供战术机会。 3. **供应短缺支撑租金增长**:全球A级空间供应处于历史低位,叠加住房短缺,将推动租金持续增长(如美国高入住率公寓、日本多户型住宅)。 4. **资本需求与机会**:银行退出开发贷款、债务到期压力增大,为私人资本提供机会;运营型房地产交易占比从12%(2020)升至18%(2025)。 5. **分散化配置关键**:地域、行业、资本类型多元化可优化风险回报,建议美国投资者配置20-30%国际资产以提升风险收益比。
房地产投资风口? 2026地产机遇? 如何分散风险?
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