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Avison Young:2026年第一季度美国写字楼市场报告(中译版)(49页).pdf

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1、Page 1U.S.office insights|Q1 2026U.S.office market reportQ1 2026Page 2U.S.office insights|Q1 2026U.S.office leasing activity totaled 61.7 million square feet(msf)in Q1 2026 down 21.7%from the pre-COVID average(20002019)of 78.6 msf,and 19.7%below 2025s volume of 76.8 msf.However,several key markets a

2、re showing strong momentum:San Franciscos leasing activity is up 32.9%year over year(YoY),and Manhattans has risen 5.6%.Both are at or approaching pre-COVID leasing levels with San Francisco 6%below,while Manhattan is up 0.4%.Office availability is at 22.2%and has declined for seven consecutive quar

3、ters.This trend is widespread,with 91%of tracked office markets recording year-over-year decreases in availability.Increases in leasing activity,decreases in supply,and a“topping out”of availability have each helped drive the decline in availability depending on the specific market.The most signific

4、ant tightening has occurred in San Francisco,Austin,Silicon Valley,Manhattan,and Orange County,with each posting declines of more than 250 basis points over the past year.Overall leasing velocity is down year over year,but performance varies meaningfully by market and asset class.In several active m

5、arkets,leasing is improving across both trophy/A and class B assets.San Francisco,Charlotte,Manhattan,Boston,and Nashville are seeing broader-based demand,with activity picking up across the quality spectrum.In contrast,some markets are showing a more uneven recovery.In Seattle,Los Angeles,Miami,and

6、 the San Francisco Peninsula,class B leasing is growing while trophy/A remains negative.total leasing activity in Q1 2026 across the U.S.U.S.office markets that have seen availability decrease YoYmarkets saw year-over-year growth in class B leasing1091%61.7 msfU.S.office market trendsSource:Avison Y

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1. **租赁活动**:2026年Q1美国办公租赁总量6170万平方英尺,较疫情前(2000-2019)均值下降21.7%,较2025年Q1下降19.7%。 2. **市场分化**:旧金山(+32.9% YoY)、曼哈顿(+5.6% YoY)接近疫情前水平,但整体租赁速度同比下降。 3. **空置率下降**:全国空置率22.2%,连续7个季度下降,91%的市场空置率同比降低,旧金山、奥斯汀等降幅超250个基点。 4. **资产类别表现**:高端物业(Trophy/A)租赁复苏强劲,曼哈顿该类租赁超疫情前15%;中低端(Class B)复苏缓慢,但旧金山、洛杉矶等市场增长显著。 5. **租金与需求**:高端租金上涨,曼哈顿、旧金山等市场因需求推动空置率下降,但科技和咨询行业办公使用率仅约50%(较2019年)。
办公市场复苏了吗? 哪些城市最活跃? 租金会涨吗?
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