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世界经济论坛(WEF):2026新经济增长:迈向系统性蓝图洞察报告(中译版)(26页).pdf

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1、Growth in the New Economy:Towards a BlueprintI N S I G H T R E P O R TA P R I L 2 0 2 6Images:Adobe Stock,Getty ImagesDisclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction.The findings,interpretations and conclusions expressed he

2、rein are a result of a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakeholders.2026 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part

3、of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.ContentsExecutive summary 3Introduction 51 Defining the neweconomy 62 Enabling growth in the new economy 72.1 Technology,productivi

4、ty and human capital 82.2 Global cooperation and domestic capacity 102.3 Business environment and the role of government 112.4 Sustainability and economic policy 123 Anticipating growth inthe new economy 133.1 The shifting geography of growth 143.2 Industries in the new economy 153.3 Navigating the

5、impacts of the new economy 173.4 Unlocking faster growth 193.5 Mapping sources of business growth 21Contributors 24Endnotes 25Growth in the New Economy:Towards a Blueprint2Executive summaryA convergence of deep structural transformations from the acceleration of AI,heightened geostrategic competitio

6、n and record levels of debt to demographic shifts and rebalancing of environmental and societal priorities is shaping the contours of the new economy.In the meantime,a sustained slowdown of growth and deepening economic divides are calling into question growth models across advanced and emerging eco

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1. **新经济特征**:由AI加速、地缘战略竞争、高债务、人口结构变化及绿色转型重塑,需敏捷增长蓝图。 2. **核心增长动力**:2025-2030年全球GDP将增56万亿美元,65%增长来自中等收入经济体;亚洲贡献超50%,IT服务、先进制造、医疗健康及住宿休闲为关键行业。 3. **主要挑战**:能源成本高(73国视为首要障碍)、政策不稳定、技能短缺(高收入国家)及基础设施不足(低收入国家)。 4. **政策权衡**:需平衡技术竞争与合作、全球整合与自主、财政审慎与金融抑制,并确保绿色转型的经济与社会协同。
新经济如何增长? 增长面临哪些挑战? 谁能赢得新经济?
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