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戴德梁行:2025年下半年欧洲写字楼市场更新报告(英文版)(14页).pdf

上传人: 1****1 编号:1189047 2026-04-14 14页 4.66MB

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1、H2 2025EUROPEANOFFICE UPDATEKeyTakeawaysRobust final quarter leasing pushed 2025 take-up volumes to within 3%of 2024 with 52%OF SPACE LEASED IN 2025 WAS OF GRADE A QUALITY THE HIGHEST SHARE ON RECORD.Prime office rental growth remained robust at 4.6%in 2025 with 20 CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF POSITIVE R

2、ENTAL GROWTH.Vacancy remained flat in Q4 with overall supply expected to have reached it peak while GRADE A VACANCY DECREASED TO 3.5%.Office investment activity remains subdued but improved by 6%in 2025 versus 2024,driven by a 45%INCREASE IN CROSS-BORDER ACTIVITY.The development pipeline fell again

3、in Q4 2025 to the LOWEST LEVEL OF SPACE UNDER CONSTRUCTION SINCE 2016 meaning the supply and demand imbalance is set to increase.Lenders are rotating back to office space as confidence returns,unlocking LOANS UP TO 60%LTV AND MARGINS BELOW 200BPS.PG4PG8PG6PG10PG7PG120%1%2%3%4%5%202420252026202720282

4、029Euro ZoneUnited Kingdom0%1%2%202420252026202720282029Euro ZoneUnited KingdomGDP growth in the Euro Area and UK was positive in 2025,with both at 1.4%respectively and improving on 2024 figures.This was achieved despite significant geopolitical and economic headwinds including conflicts and trade t

5、ariffs that add significant uncertainty and weigh on activity.Performance was not uniform,with German growth continuing to lag with 0.3%growth in 2025 although this was an improvement from the negative growth seen in the previous two years.France delivered 0.8%in 2025 with Italy also coming in at 0.

6、7%.Conversely,Spain and the Netherlands delivered above-average growth of 2.8%and 1.9%respectively,with the UK coming in at 1.4%.Czechia and Poland also continued to report solid growth.Service sector PMI softened slightly in January to a four-month low but remained in positive expansion territory.T

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1. **租赁需求**:2025年欧洲办公楼租赁量达1050万㎡,同比下降3%,但A级占比创纪录52%,核心CBD占比67%。 2. **租金与空置**:甲级租金增长4.6%(连续20个季度正增长),整体空置率9.8%(A级降至3.5%)。 3. **开发与供应**:施工量降至2016年以来最低(1010万㎡),2026年预计新增供应520万㎡,2027-2028年或进一步萎缩。 4. **投资与融资**:投资额226亿欧元(同比+6%),跨境投资激增45%;贷款价值比(LTV)提升至60%,利差低于200bps。 5. **经济与政策**:欧元区与GDP增长1.4%,通胀稳定在2%;ECB维持利率2.0%,但中东冲突带来下行风险。
**欧洲租金涨势如何?** **A级办公需求为何激增?** **投资市场有何新动向?**
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