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联合国粮农组织:2025-2034年拉丁美洲与加勒比地区农业中期展望报告(英文版)(19页).pdf

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1、 Latin America and the Caribbean:Medium-Term Projections 2025-2034 Regional Brief Required citation:Davids,P.2026.Latin America and the Caribbean:Medium-term projections 20252034 Regional brief.Rome and Paris,FAO/OECD.The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information pro

2、duct do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations(FAO)concerning the legal or development status of any country,territory,city or area or of its authorities,or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundari

3、es.Dashed lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement.The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers,whether or not these have been patented,does not imply that these have been endorsed or recommended by FAO in preference to others o

4、f a similar nature that are not mentioned.FAO,2026 Some rights reserved.This work is made available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence(CCBY 4.0:https:/creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.en).Under the terms of this licence,this work may be copied,redistributed

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1. **区域概况**:拉丁美洲及加勒比地区占全球农业用地14%,人口8%(6.57亿),城市化率超80%,但农村贫困率仍高。 2. **生产趋势**:农业总产值预计2034年增长15%,其中作物(+17%)和渔业(+16%)增长较快,畜牧业(+13%)较缓;巴西、阿根廷将占全球大豆产量53%。 3. **消费挑战**:日均热量摄入2600千卡,肉类消费达50公斤/人(全球平均的1.86倍),但健康饮食成本高昂,28%人口负担不起。 4. **贸易主导**:占全球农产品出口25%,主要出口大豆(66%)、糖(59%)等,但依赖国际市场,易受贸易政策波动影响。 5. **环境压力**:农业温室气体排放占全球18.2%,碳强度下降10%,但需进一步推广减排技术。
**拉美农业前景?** **粮食安全挑战?** **出口依赖风险?**
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