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联合国贸发会议:2026金砖国家内部贸易二十年:趋势、模式与政策研究报告(英文版)(53页).pdf

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1、Trends,Patterns and Policies Two Decades of Intra-BRICS TradeTechnical cooperation outcomeUNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENTGeneva,2026iiTwo Decades of Intra-BRICS TradeTrends,Patterns and Policies 2026,United Nations Conference on Trade and DevelopmentThe findings,interpretations an

2、d conclusions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations or its officials or Member States.The designations employed and the presentation of material on any map in this work do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the par

3、t of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country,territory,city or area or of its authorities,or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.Mention of any firm or licensed process does not imply the endorsement of the United Nations.This publication has not been for

4、mally edited.UNCTAD/TCS/GDS/INF/2025/2iiiTwo Decades of Intra-BRICS TradeTrends,Patterns and PoliciesAcknowledgementsThis publication was prepared,under the overall guidance of Anastasia Nesvetailova,Head of Branch,by the UNCTAD Division on Globalization and Development Strategies.Research for the r

5、eport was led and conducted by Dawei Wang,with substantive support from Jie Ouyang(UNCTAD Intern).The publication benefited from internal review and feedback from UNCTAD colleagues at the Office of the Secretary-General of UNCTAD and the Division on International Trade and Commodities,including Said

6、ali Abdoulkarim,Anida Yupari Aguado,Andrs Miguel Rondn Anzola,Taisuke Ito,Clovis Freire Junior,Alexandra Laurent,Peter Lunenborg and Alessandro Nicita.UNCTAD gratefully acknowledges the inputs contributed by Dan Lu(The Chinese University of Hong Kong,China)and Jingxin Ning(University of Internationa

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1. **经济规模与贸易增长**:BRICS十国占全球GDP 27%(2024年)、商品出口24%、FDI流入22%。2003-2024年,成员国间贸易额从842亿美元增至1.17万亿美元,年均增长13.3%,远超全球贸易(5.7%)和南南贸易(9.5%)增速。 2. **贸易结构特征**: - 中国居核心地位,2024年对BRICS出口达5000亿美元,占其总出口10-15%。 - 多数成员国依赖初级产品出口(如巴西、俄罗斯等超75%),但进口以中高技术制成品为主(如印度、埃及超50%)。 - 中国成功实现产业升级,中高技术制成品出口占比从2003年42.3%升至2024年72%。 3. **政策合作挑战**:尽管贸易增长迅速,但成员国间缺乏全面贸易协定,仅依赖软性合作。建议采用“贸易+”策略,推动区域协定并加强政策联动。
**BRICS贸易潜力?** **中国角色如何?** **政策合作瓶颈?**
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