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ITIF:2026美国汽车产业全球竞争力演变评估报告(中译版)(53页).pdf

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1、itif.org Assessing the Evolving Global Competitiveness of the US Auto Industry STEPHEN EZELL AND MEGHAN OSTERTAG|MARCH 2026 To win the techno-economic competition with China,America must be able to assess the factors impacting the global competitiveness of its advanced-technology industries.Using th

2、e auto industry as a template,U.S.competitiveness has faltered considerably.KEY TAKEAWAYS Reaching its zenith in the 1950s,the U.S.auto industry has been in a period of decline since at least the mid-1960s when it began to face import competition from leaner Japanese and European competitors.While t

3、he Big Three automakersGeneral Motors,Ford,and Chrysleraccounted for 92 percent of domestic auto share in 1965,this share would fall by half,to 46 percent,by 2015,and to 38 percent by 2024.The U.S.location quotient for autos(which compares how much an industry contributes to a nations economy as it

4、does to the global economy)fell from 0.92 in 1995 to 0.54 in 2022,meaning the U.S.auto industry is 45 percent smaller than the global average.Today,the U.S.auto industry face new challenges from low-cost Chinese EV producers,increasing offshoring of production to Mexico,and the emergence of a host o

5、f new vehicle technologies,from autonomy to electrification.From 1995 to 2022,Chinas share of global automotive vehicle output skyrocketed eightfold,from 3 to 25 percent,while the U.S.share slid from 23 to 14 percent.In 2007,cars sold in the United States contained 38 percent U.S.-or Canadian-made c

6、ontent on average;that portion declined to 18 percent by 2023.U.S.auto competitiveness today is like the situation in the 1980s and 1990s all over againas intense Chinese EV competition and technological change roil the industryonly this time it cannot take 1015 years to adapt if its to survive.INFO

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1. **美国汽车业竞争力衰退**:1950年代占全球产量76%,2022年降至14%;三大车企(GM、Ford、Chrysler)国内份额从1965年92%降至2024年38%。 2. **中国崛起挑战**:中国全球汽车产量份额从1995年3%飙升至2022年25%,EV领域主导(74%电池专利、75%高影响力论文)。 3. **本土化与贸易失衡**:美国汽车本土含量从2007年38%降至2023年18%;贸易逆差累计425亿美元(1963-2023)。 4. **创新与生产效率落后**:美国汽车业区位 quotient(LQ)从1995年0.92降至2022年0.54;R&D投入占GDP比重仅为中国的1/3(2025年数据)。 5. **就业与产业依赖**:汽车制造业就业占比从1966年1.5%降至2018年0.4%,支撑金属加工、半导体等上游产业。
美国车为何衰落? 中国车如何崛起? 美国车能翻身吗?
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