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罗兰贝格:2026欧洲化工行业结构性重构:企业如何适应欧洲新常态研究报告(中译版)(13页).pdf

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1、March 2026Cover phutthiseth thongtae/Getty ImagesEuropes chemical industry structural reset How can companies adapt to the new European reality Europes chemical industry structural reset 2Management Summary The European chemical industry is undergoing a fundamental transformation driven by a converg

2、ence of structural forces.Weak domestic demand,combined with limited market pull for sustainable and lowcarbon solutions,is weighing on growth.At the same time,persistently lowcapacity utilization across Europe contrasts sharply with rising imports from China,fuelled by global overcapacity.These pre

3、ssures are compounded by significantly higher energy costs,which continue to erode Europes global competitiveness.Regulatory developments add another layer of complexity.The European Union is advancing impactful regulations including the Emissions Trading System(ETS1).While the system is currently u

4、nder review,it remains designed to phase out free carbon allowances by 2039 without yet providing sufficient mechanisms to safeguard European industry or ensure a level playing field.Taken together,these dynamics are placing unprecedented strain on chemical and the impact is already visible.From 202

5、2 to 2025,announced capacity closures increased sixfold to nearly 37 million tons,while new investment announcements have dropped sharply,resulting in a shrinking industrial footprint and a net capacity loss of over 30 million tons.Against this backdrop,companies must navigate deep uncertainty:Will

6、Europe remain an open market or move toward greater protection?Will the transition to a green economy accelerate or slow under economic pressure?To remain competitive and resilient,chemical companies must act across three critical dimensions.(1)Strategically,they must develop a robust transformation

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1. **行业结构性收缩**:2022-2025年欧洲化学行业宣布关闭产能近3700万吨(占总量9%),净损失超3000万吨,新投资锐减90%(仅700万吨)。 2. **核心挑战**: - 需求疲弱与全球产能过剩(尤其中国进口)压制价格; - 能源成本高企(欧盟电价达美、亚两倍)削弱竞争力; - 欧盟碳关税(ETS)2039年取消免费配额,叠加REACH等法规推高合规成本。 3. **战略方向**:企业需通过三维度行动应对—— - **战略**:基于场景分析优化价值链定位; - **运营**:重构参与模式与运营架构; - **绩效**:短期优化供应链、成本及能效以稳定现金流。 4. **结论**:增量调整失效,需主动重组资产与业务模式,方能适应新格局。
**欧洲化工业何去何从?** **产能关闭潮如何应对?** **绿色转型能否破局?**
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