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罗兰贝格：预见2026：中国行业趋势报告（英文版）（138页）.pdf

上传人： 1****1 编号：1156389 2026-03-16 138页 11.32MB

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1、Foresight 2026Roland Berger ChinaAnnual Trends Report2025 a critical milestoneThe year 2025 marks the conclusion of Chinas 14th Five-Year Plan and the preparatory phase for the 15th Five-Year Plan,representing a critical transition in the nations development trajectory.This period signals Chinas str

2、ategic pivot towards high-quality growth and sustainable modernisation amid evolving global dynamics.Chinas economy maintained solid expansion during the 14th Five-Year Plan period and has become a significant contributor to global growth,accounting for around 30 percent of worldwide economic expans

3、ion annually.Meanwhile,the country emerged as a global frontrunner in many technologies and one of the worlds fastest-improving innovators,not only in EV,battery,solar and wind,but increasingly in AI,quantum computing,space,biotech,humanoid robots,etc.Chinas commitment to industrial modernisation yi

4、elded substantial returns.China accounts for nearly 30 percent of the total global manufacturing output,maintaining its position as the worlds largest manufacturing powerhouse.However,it also highlights the need for more efficient planning for resource allocation and regional coordination to address

5、 the issues such as industrial overcapacity and involution.Forging the future:Same but differentAs China turns the page,it faces a new global and domestic reality that is shaping its priorities for the next five years.While Chinas GDP growth remains stable,there has been a massive economic transform

6、ation beneath this surface.Industrial modernisation and technology innovation are becoming key growth engines for Chinese economy,which are expected to feature prominently in Chinas 15th Five-Year Plan.Despite China still facing the deflation pressure and domestic competition,or involution,we are al

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1. **2025关键转折点**：中国完成“十四五”规划，迈向“十五五”，战略转向高质量增长，经济贡献全球增量的30%，制造业占全球产出近30%。 2. **八大悖论挑战**：包括产能过剩（如制造业超能力）、内卷与创新不足、青年失业与老龄化等，需平衡技术自研与全球合作。 3. **AI引领变革**：中国AI模型（如DeepSeek）崛起，2024年研发投入增8.3%至3.6万亿元，但制造业应用滞后；预计AI将贡献中国GDP增长0.2-0.3个百分点。 4. **全球化新阶段**：中国企业从“出海”转向“高质量全球化”，需本地化（如MINISO海外员工占60.8%）并整合全球资源；跨国企业需加强本土化供应链与研发合作。 5. **地缘政治影响**：中美贸易摩擦持续（关税仍达47%），中国通过“一带一路”输出技术软实力，全球AI竞争加剧。
中国AI如何领先？ 企业全球化路在何方？ 并购浪潮新机遇？
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