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ITIF:2026跨国企业产能向美转移背景下内部价值链对中国的持续依赖研究报告(中译版)(60页).pdf

上传人: 1****1 编号:1143178 2026-02-26 60页 1,016.16KB

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1、 itif.org Internal Value Chains Remain Dependent on China Even as Multinationals Shift Production to America ELI CLEMENS|FEBRUARY 2026 Advanced manufacturers based in East Asia are expanding investment into the U.S.economy.Yet,many of their internal value chains remain anchored in China,giving the P

2、RC significant leverage over U.S.interests.U.S.policymakers should respond both defensively and offensively.KEY TAKEAWAYS Many multinationals implement China-Plus-One or China-Plus-Many strategies to reduce risk by maintaining production capacity in China while shifting or adding production in at le

3、ast one other country.Some multinationals are shifting production to the United States as part of their China Plus One strategies due to Chinese regulatory,competition,and statecraft risks,plus U.S.reshoring incentives,tariffs,and government pressure.The Peoples Republic of China(PRC)has tolerated s

4、ome China-Plus-One dispersion while also responding with inducements and coercive force to keep core inputs,talent,and intellectual property(IP)in China.U.S.policy prioritizes job creation and capital expenditure,so it treats recent inbound investment from East Asian allies as an unqualified win,and

5、 it has largely ignored vulnerabilities from value-chain dependency on China.U.S.policymakers should measure the success of inbound advanced manufacturing investment by considering the degree of supply-chain independence from China in light of potential PRC leverage or decoupling scenarios.U.S.indus

6、trial policy also should use more financial tools to proactively target multinationals as prospects for new U.S.inbound investment if they are interested,able to achieve,or forced to abandon a China-centric production strategy.INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY&INNOVATION FOUNDATION|FEBRUARY 2026 PAGE 2 CONTENT

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1. **核心问题**:尽管东亚企业(如台湾英业达、日本Resonac、韩国LS C&S)扩大对美投资,但其内部价值链仍深度依赖中国,形成“中国+1”策略下的供应链风险。 2. **数据支撑**: - 英业达60%产能在中国,中国员工占高管层14.6%; - Resonac中国营收占15.1%,30%专利在中国; - 美国FDI中日本占15%,但多为收购而非新建产能。 3. **关键结论**: - 中国通过“供应链粘性”控制高价值环节(如IP、人才); - 美国政策(如CHIPS法案)未解决上游依赖,仅实现地理分散; - 需重新定义“成功”,以减少中国依赖为核心目标。
**中国依赖风险?** **价值链困局?** **美国如何破局?**
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