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1、Allianz ResearchThe heat is on:Unlocking Germanys 20 January 2026heat-pump potential Allianz Research2Content Page 3 Executive SummaryPage 4-6 The heating challenge in Germanys green transitionPage 7-8 Why heat pumps?Environmental and economic benefitsPage 9-12 Barriers to heat-pump adoptionPage 13-

2、14 Policy measures to accelerate adoption 20 January 20263SummaryExecutive Germanys path to net-zero runs through its homes and buildings.The building sector,responsible for 21%of the countrys emissions,is lagging behind other sectors in decarbonization.By 2025,emissions from buildings are projected

3、 to exceed the net-zero path by nearly 40%.Without faster progress,the countrys broader climate goals are at risk.Heating is at the heart of the problem and the solution.Switching from fossil-fuel-based systems to low-carbon alternatives,particularly heat pumps,is essential.Heat pumps are efficient,

4、increasingly cost-competitive and can provide both heating and cooling in a single system.They are expected to meet over 60%of Germanys residential heating demand by 2045,making them central to the countrys net-zero ambitions.Yet adoption has slowed sharply.In 2024,heat pump sales in Germany fell by

5、 nearly half,with high electricity prices adding to other headwinds such as significant upfront investment,continued policy uncertainty and wider economic struggles for households.While generous subsidies are available in Germany covering 30-70%of the cost they are not well targeted.As support is ti

6、ed to investment size,the current system tends to favor higher-income households and inflate installation prices.Even after subsidies,out-of-pocket costs often exceed EUR9,00012,000,placing heat pumps beyond reach for many,with every third German household boasting a net wealth below EUR10,000.Even