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联合国:2026年世界经济形势与展望报告(中译版)(216页).pdf

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1、World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026The World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026 is a report produced by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs(UN DESA),in partnership with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development(UNCTAD)and the five United Nations regio

2、nal commissions:the Economic Commission for Africa(ECA),Economic Commission for Europe(UNECE),Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean(ECLAC),Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific(ESCAP)and Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia(ESCWA).The United Nations Wor

3、ld Tourism Organization(UN Tourism)also contributed to the report.World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026ECLAC Jos Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs,Executive Secretary Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Av.Dag Hammarskjld,3477.Vitacura Santiago,Chile Chile +56-2-22102000 secepalcepa

4、l.orgESCAP Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana,Executive Secretary Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific United Nations Building.Rajadamnern Nok Avenue Bangkok 10200 Thailand +66-2-2881234 escap-scasun.orgESCWA Mourad Wahba,Acting Executive Secretary Economic and Social Commission for Weste

5、rn Asia P.O.Box 11-8575.Riad el-Solh Square Beirut Lebanon +961-1-981301 https:/www.unescwa.org/contactFor further information,visit https:/www.un.org/en/desa or contact:UN DESA Li Junhua,Under-Secretary-General Department of Economic and Social Affairs Room S-2922 United Nations New York,NY 10017 U

6、SA +1-212-9635958 undesaun.orgUNCTAD Rebeca Grynspan,Secretary-General United Nations Conference on Trade and Development Room E-9042 Palais de Nations,814 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland +41-22-9175806 sgounctad.orgECA Claver Gatete,Executive Secretary United Nations Economic Commission for Africa Menel

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1. **全球经济增速放缓**:2025年全球经济增长2.8%,预计2026年降至2.7%,2027年微升至2.9%,均低于疫情前(2010-2019年)3.2%的平均水平。 2. **通胀持续高位**:全球通胀率从2022年的7.9%降至2025年的3.4%,预计2026年进一步放缓至3.1%,但仍高于疫情前2.8%的平均水平。 3. **贸易增长趋弱**:2025年全球贸易增长3.8%,受关税冲击影响,2026年预计降至2.2%。 4. **区域发展不均**:中国2025年增长4.9%,2026年预计4.6%;非洲2025年增长3.9%,2026年预计4.0%;最不发达国家(LDCs)2025年仅增长3.9%,远低于可持续发展目标(SDG)的7%。 5. **政策挑战**:财政空间受限、债务高企、地缘政治紧张及气候风险加剧,削弱多边合作与可持续发展进展。
全球经济前景如何? 通胀压力会缓解吗? AI如何影响就业?
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