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澳大利亚政府:2025年澳大利亚排放预测报告(英文版)(105页).pdf

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1、Australias emissions projections 2025 Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water 1 Australias emissions projections 2025 November 2025 Australias emissions projections 2025 Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water 2 Commonwealth of Australia 2025 Ownership of

2、intellectual property rights Unless otherwise noted,copyright(and any other intellectual property rights)in this publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia(referred to as the Commonwealth).Creative Commons licence All material in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attri

3、bution 4.0 International Licence except content supplied by third parties,logos and the Commonwealth Coat of Arms.Inquiries about the licence and any use of this document should be submitted via our online contact form.Cataloguing data This publication(and any material sourced from it)should be attr

4、ibuted as:DCCEEW 2025,Australias emissions projections 2025,Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water,Canberra,November.CC BY 4.0.This publication is available at Australias emissions projections 2025-DCCEEW.Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water GPO Box 30

5、90 Canberra ACT 2601 Telephone 1800 920 528 Web dcceew.gov.au Disclaimer The Australian Government acting through the Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water has exercised due care and skill in preparing and compiling the information and data in this publication.Notwithstanding

6、,the Department of Climate Change,Energy,the Environment and Water,its employees and advisers disclaim all liability,including liability for negligence and for any loss,damage,injury,expense or cost incurred by any person as a result of accessing,using or relying on any of the information or data in

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根据文章内容,以下是关键点的概括: 1. 澳大利亚的2030年目标是减排43%,2035年目标是减排62-70%,2050年实现净零排放。目前政策下,预计2030年减排42%,2035年减排48%。 2. 电力行业减排幅度最大,预计2030年比2025年减排60%以上。交通行业排放预计将停止增长并开始下降,主要得益于新车辆效率标准。 3. Safeguard机制覆盖了约30%的排放,预计到2030年将实现1.9亿吨的减排。碳信用机制预计到2030年将发放6亿个碳单位。 4. 农业、废弃物和土地利用行业的排放预计变化不大。2035年目标需要进一步的政策行动来实现。 5. 澳大利亚的排放强度预计到2030年将下降69%,人均排放预计将下降60%。 6. 与2024年相比,2030年基准情景排放增加了2百万吨,2035年增加了2千万吨,主要由于政策变化和需求预测调整。 7. 政策基础已经奠定,但需要持续行动来实现2035年及以后的排放目标。
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