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Onyx战略洞察:2025美国对等关税的影响预测与分析报告(中译版)(21页).pdf

上传人: 白**** 编号:623176 2025-04-08 21页 196.39KB

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1、 Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduction by written authorization only.Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduction by written authorization only.The impact of reciprocal tariffsProjections&AnalysisMarch 2025 Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduction by written authorization only.2 Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduct

2、ion by written authorization only.Help clients build more resilient,efficient and adaptive supply chains.focusing on geopolitical,economic and operational disruptors through advisory engagements and insightsOur vision Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduction by written authorization only.3Our service li

3、nesBringing together political and economic insights in service of global supply chainsBalance resilience,efficiency and adaptabilityCountry cost and risk analysisTotal acquisition cost monitoring and forecastsGeographic footprint,network and de-riskingLogistics shocks:monitoring and forecastsInfras

4、tructure performance and lead time projectionsGeopolitical shock monitoring and contingency planningTrade policy forecasting and regulatory monitoring00Strategy,planning&risk managementSourcing&procurementTrade&complianceTransportation,logistics&distribution Onyx Strategic Insights.Reproduction by w

5、ritten authorization only.4Executive summaryEconomic impacts range from bad to worseThe US-EU dispute is likely to escalate quicklyThe Trump admin is seeking to reset the rules of trade on many frontsThe Trump admin is attempting to incentivize the knocking down of barriers and local regulation that

6、 they say prevent US market access at the risk of kicking-off a broad trade warThe Trump admin faces constraints on action that point to investigations and negotiations lasting through 2025 and into 2026 with retaliation risks remaining high throughoutTools range from national security declarations

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本文主要讨论了美国对其他国家实施互惠关税的影响。文章指出,美国正在寻求通过互惠关税来改变全球贸易规则,这可能导致贸易战。文章分析了不同情景下互惠关税对美国、欧盟和中国等主要经济体的影响,包括对GDP、通货膨胀和贸易的影响。文章还讨论了其他国家对美国互惠关税的反应,包括可能的报复措施。总体而言,文章认为互惠关税可能导致全球经济衰退,改变全球贸易模式。
特朗普政府如何通过互惠关税改变全球贸易规则? 互惠关税对全球经济和贸易有何影响? 各国如何应对美国的互惠关税政策?
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