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光伏组件风险评估:环境条件、极端天气和区域容量.pdf

上传人: 外** 编号:1275197 2026-07-04 25页 4.25MB

1、Assessing Risks for Photovoltaic Modules:Environmental Conditions,Extreme Weather,and Regional CapacityNorman Jost1,*,Elizabeth C.Palmiotti2,Jarett Zuboy2,Dirk C Jordan2,Jennifer L.Braid1and Teresa M.Barnes21Sandia National Laboratories,Albuquerque,NM,USA2National Laboratory of the Rockies,Golden,CO

2、,USA*nrjostsandia.govPV Module Tech 2026,Napa Valley Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology&Engineering Solutions of Sandia,LLC,a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc.,for the U.S.Department of Energys National Nuclear

3、Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.SAND2026-22541CDuraMAT|2Track technology changes that could affect PV reliabilityAssess changes in PV reliability risks over timeIdentify the need for new research related to reliabilityDuraMAT Technology ScoutingSi ModulesThin Film ModulesDuraMAT|

4、3Getting Ahead of the Curve:Assessment of New Photovoltaic Module Reliability Risks Associated With Projected Technological Changes(2024)Jarett Zuboy,Martin Springer,Elizabeth C.Palmiotti,Joseph Karas,Brittany L.Smith,Michael Woodhouse,Teresa M.BarnesTech Scouting To DateGrowing Panes:Investigating

5、the PV Technology Trends Behind Frequent Early Failures in Modern GlassGlass Modules(2025)Elizabeth C.Palmiotti,Martin Springer,Jarett Zuboy,Timothy J.Silverman,Jennifer L.Braid,Dirk C.Jordan,Salil Rabade,Teresa M.Barneshttps:/ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10347402 https:/ieeexplore.ieee.org/document

6、/10847304 DuraMAT|4Tech Scouting 3.0:Market-Specific PVWhat combinations of environmental and extreme weather stressors should be addressed for US markets now and in the future?What is the best approach for durability/reliability of modules in different environments now and in the future?DuraMAT|5Te

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1. **技术趋势与风险评估**:DuraMAT项目跟踪光伏技术变化,评估可靠性风险演变,识别新研究需求,重点关注硅基和薄膜组件。 2. **高气候风险区域**:美国前12个光伏装机大州(TX, CA, FL等)累计超1.75GW,PVCZ(光伏气候区)显示高温、高湿、强风(30m/s)及紫外线加速组件退化。 3. **极端天气影响**:内陆洪水(555县)、强风(449县)、热浪(225县)为主要灾害,导致组件损坏或性能衰减,FEMA指数量化风险。 4. **数据库支撑**:基于LBNL US PV Location数据库和Jordan等人的退化数据,结合经济与市场分析,为用户提供可靠性指导。
**光伏风险热点?** (针对关注光伏部署风险的行业人士,引发对高发风险区域的兴趣) **气候如何影响?** (吸引关注环境因素对光伏性能影响的读者,突出气候与可靠性的关联) **极端天气对策?** (面向寻求解决方案的开发商或工程师,强调应对极端天气的实用价值)
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