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全球南方研究中心:2025中东和北非地区的产业发展与转型研究报告(中译版)(25页).pdf

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1、Industrial Development and Transformation in the MENA RegionOsama El GoharyAssistant to the Prime Minister of Egypt and Chairman of the Information and Decision Support Center(IDSC)Liu ChenGlobal South Research Center Zhu QingyiGlobal South Research CenterAuthorsThe views expressed in the report are

2、 the authors own and do not necessarily reflect the position of GSRC.SummaryIn the midst of great changes unseen in a century and amid industrial transformations and restructuring of global value chains,countries in the Middle East and North Africa(MENA)region are pursuing industrial upgrading strat

3、egies based on their comparative advantages and are undergoing significant industrial restructuring.The approaches adopted by Morocco,Trkiye,and Egypt in promoting industrial transformation and upgrading are highly representative within the MENA region,offering valuable insights for Global South cou

4、ntries pursuing industrial development.Over the past decade,the MENA region has experienced steady economic growth.The industrial sectors contribution to gross domestic product(GDP)has increased from 38.0%to 40.6%,alongside ongoing improvements in the economic diversification index.Manufacturing out

5、put has expanded rapidly,notwithstanding some fluctuations,and the trade structure has continuously improved,with the share of manufactured goods exports rising significantly from 16.3%to 41.8%.Nevertheless,a manufacturing trade deficit remains evident.Morocco has developed an industrial ecosystem c

6、entered around the automotive industry,advancing from basic assembly to integrated full-chain production.Trkiye is transitioning from conventional industries such as textiles to more value-added manufacturing industries,including automotive,machinery,and Information and Communication Technology(ICT)

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1. **工业增长与结构变化**:MENA地区GDP十年增长35%,工业占比从38%升至40.6%,制造业增加值占GDP比重从10.6%增至12.5%,制成品出口占比从16.3%升至41.8%,但制造业贸易 deficit 仍存(2023年达2733.5亿美元)。 2. **三国案例**: - **摩洛哥**:汽车产业从组装升级为全链生产,出口额十年增长250%(2022年达140亿美元),占工业出口19.3%。 - **土耳其**:制造业增加值十年翻倍(2023年达2126亿美元),占GDP峰值23%,汽车和ICT产业成新增长点。 - **埃及**:工业产值十年增长近3倍(2024年达1.9万亿埃镑),数字产业增速显著,ICT占GDP升至5.1%。 3. **核心策略**:以制造业为中心推动工业化,强化政治规划与产业选择(结合比较优势),优化营商环境、技术创新及区域整合。
**MENA工业升级?** **三国转型启示?** **如何优化环境?**
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