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图1.13：.对最不发达国家的国际流动

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所属报告：

国际货币基金组织（IMF）：2026年世界经济展望报告：战争阴影下的全球经济（4月版）（英文版）（180页）.pdf

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注：净官方发展援助（ODA）按国民总收入的比例加权并显示。LIDCs=低收入发展中国家; “在接下来的六个月中，您认为该企业会在其任何业务功能中使用人政监测）。这些经济体的财政可持续性问题- 经济体的借款成本施加压力，还可能收紧更广泛政策时期，由于期限溢价扩大和更高的通货膨的金融条件，放大金融市场的波动性（见框1.3中胀预期，长期收益率上升，最终降低经济增长。风险。选举通常与财政失控相关（Shi和SvenssO 定的资产，各国可能面临持续较高的融资成本和 n 2006），这不仅提高了借款成本，还可能引发资本流出。繁荣-萧条的增长动态。对于低收入国家而言，计划减少官方发展援助（ODA）通过影响健康、教育和社会保障等结果提出了额外挑战。许多撒哈 DA占GDP比重的逐渐下降。在同一时期，中国的贷款显著扩大，反映出多种因素，但近年来有人工智能带来的生产率提升更早实现。参考预测未包括人工智能对生产率的直接影响，因增以及人工智能采纳的加速，可能会在不久的将来显著提高生产率并推动中期增长，正如自2 020年以来美国生产率增长超出趋势所预示的。这可能在短期内将全球增长提升最多0.3个百分对经济机构信心的侵蚀。对独立中央银行和其点，在中期则提升0.1-0.8个百分点（见2025年1 他政策机构的政治压力加剧，可能侵蚀公众对其 0月的世界经济展望框1.3）。如果有适当的条件履行职责能力的信心，并提升通货膨胀预期（20 ，收益可以在经济中各方共享，条件是有 25年10月《世界经济展望》第2章）。重新锚定

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