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18年FCFF善(转)策略性著
18年FCFF善(转)策略性著
行业数据
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图片大小：485KB
图片尺寸：1144*807
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所属报告：
主题策略-“自由现金流”洞见(一)：告别内卷拥抱现金-251119（28页）.pdf
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FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2026-06-26
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FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2026-06-26
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亚翔集成FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2026-03-31
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FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2026-02-27
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关注竞争格局稳定、CAPEX下降、FCFF向好、分红有潜力的行业
fCDooYzkuJrliIbnsbsgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOWtkOihjOS4miB8IOernuS6ieagvOWxgOS8mOWMlu+8iOihjOS4mumbhuS4reW6puaPkOWNh+aIlue7tOaMge+8iSB8IOWOu+adoOadhuOAgeWOu+S6p+iDve+8iOadoOadhueOh+S4i+mZje+8iSB8IENBUEVY5LiL6KGMIHwg5YiG57qi5r2c5Yqb5oqs5Y2H77yIRkNGRuaPkOWNhy/kv53mjIHpq5jkvY3vvIkgfCDliIbnuqLmvZzlipvmiqzljYfvvIjliIbnuqLmj5DljYcv5L+d5oyB6auY5L2N77yJIHwg6ZyA5rGC56uv56iz5a6a77yI6JCl5pS25Yip5ram5aKe6YCf5L+d5oyB77yJIHwKfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tfAp8IOWkqeeUn+agvOWxgOWwseWlvSAgICAgICAgICAgfCDliqjlipvnhaQgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOawtOeUtSAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDpk4Hot68gICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IMOXICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDmuK/lj6MgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg6L+Q6JCl5ZWGIHwg4oiaICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICB8IOKImiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDiiJogICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgw5cgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8Cnwg5ZCO5aSp5qC85bGA5LyY5YyWIOa9nOWcqOeos+Wumuexu+i1hOS6pyB8IOawtOWKoSAgIHwg5qC85bGA5Zu65YyWICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOazouWKqCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOazouWKqCAgICAgIHwg5rOi5Yqo77yI6LWE5pys5byA5pSv5b2x5ZON77yJICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg5L+d5oyB6auY5L2NICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMjQgLSAyNuW5tOW9kuavjeWHgOWIqeWkjeWQiOWinumAnzggLSAxMCXlt6blj7MgfAp8ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCDlm7rlup8gICB8IOW5tui0reaVtOWQiOmbhuS4reW6puaPkOWNhyAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOS4i+mZjSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IOWkp+W5heaUtueqhCAgfCDmj5DljYcgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwg5o+Q5Y2HICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDI0IC0gMjblubTlvZLmr43lh4DliKnlpI3lkIjlop7pgJ84IC0gMTUl5bem5Y+zIHwKCuaVsOaNruadpea6kO+8muW5v+WPkeetlueVpee7hOWkluWPkeaKpeWRiuOAiuS4reWbvei1hOS6p1JPReWmguS9leWunueOsOWxgue6p+i3g+i/ge+8n+KAlOKAlDI0SDLnrZbnlaXjgIvvvIzlub/lj5Hor4HliLjlj5HlsZXnoJTnqbbkuK3lv4M=
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竞争格局
2026-01-05
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根据FCFF估值法，对应目标价18.55元，按汇率计算为20.16港币
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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大参林FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2025-12-09
原图定位
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益丰药房FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2025-12-02
原图定位
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18年FCFF善(转)策略性著(二级行业)
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行业数据
2025-11-24
原图定位
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制造业的自由现金流（FCFF）善，其他大类板块的自由现金流也会相继善
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行业数据
2025-11-24
原图定位
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20-21年光伏Capex扩张，FCFF比回落，获得超额益，当前光伏资开缩，FCFF比善，获得超额益
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行业数据
2025-11-24
原图定位
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大参林FCFF估值表（单位：百万元）
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行业数据
2025-11-20
原图定位
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FCFF模型计算过程（百万元）
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2025-11-10
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FCFF过渡期计算（百万元）
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2025-11-10
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主题策略-“自由现金流”洞见(一)：告别内卷拥抱现金-251119（28页）.pdf
以下“内”材&制造行业满足：EBIT趋势善+Capex缩+FCFF比趋势善
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以下消费行业基满足：EBIT趋势善+存货低位+FCFF比趋势善
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