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《大美丽法案》在未来十年的收支和赤字影响
《大美丽法案》在未来十年的收支和赤字影响
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所属报告：
《大美丽法案》：内容、影响与策略启示-250714（15页）.pdf
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图表15《大美丽法案》2026年生效条款（部分）
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行业数据
2026-07-14
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图1：．关于预计未来十年全球及各地区的数据中心增长情况的总结，以及供电所用的预计能源组合。
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行业数据
2026-04-28
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西门子能源对未来十年全球燃气装机容
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行业数据
2026-04-13
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展品14：目前全球老年人口约为12亿，预计未来十年年增长3.5%。世界60/65岁及以上人口
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行业数据
2026-03-11
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“大而美”法案预计未来十年新增赤字4.1万亿美元升，CRFB预计2034年达到127%
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行业数据
2026-01-28
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“大美丽法案”实施前后的美国财政支出预测
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行业数据
2026-01-20
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“大美丽法案”实施后的美国财政收入、支出、赤字占GDP的比例预测
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行业数据
2026-01-20
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“大美丽法案”实施前后的美国财政收入预测
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行业数据
2026-01-20
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《大而美法案》未来十年增加赤字规模估算（十亿）
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市场规模
2025-12-23
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大美丽法案或提升美国长期产出增速约1.2%
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行业数据
2025-12-19
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2026财年大美丽法案预计大幅提升美
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行业数据
2025-12-19
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CBO预测《大美丽法案》将使美国明年的GDP增长提高0.9%
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行业数据
2025-12-17
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未来十年中国人均乘机次数CAGR超过6%（单位：次）
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行业数据
2025-12-16
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未来十年4.4%复合增速即可实现2035实际GDP较2020年翻一番
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行业数据
2025-12-02
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中国香港未来十年住宅供应目标
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行业数据
2025-11-18
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2026-07-30
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2026-07-30
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在财政预算上，《大美丽法案》为市场所担忧之处有二：其一，法案隐含的未来财政赤字和债务规模之大，进一步加剧了对美国公共债务可持续性的挑战；其二，法案“增赤在前、减赤在后”的特点，将削减赤字的难题后移，在 2028 年前后易引发如 2012 年奥巴马政府时期“财政悬崖”的风险。
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《大美丽法案》：内容、影响与策略启示-250714（15页）.pdf
不同情景下的美国财政赤字率
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