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OPEC主要国家财政收支平衡油价
OPEC主要国家财政收支平衡油价
行业数据
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所属报告：
2025年度宏观策略报告：破浪前行激发内需活力-250103（78页）.pdf
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相关数据
2024年以来OPEC+减产承诺落实不均
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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26年6月OPEC+主要国家原油产量环比变动情况
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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OPEC原油产量（百万桶/天）
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行业数据
2026-06-26
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图5、OPEC产量变化（百万桶/日）
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行业数据
2026-05-11
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图10、非OPEC传统常规油田项目投产峰值产能计划（千桶/日）
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行业数据
2026-05-11
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OPEC原油产量（百万桶/天）
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行业数据
2026-05-11
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2021年，阿联酋与沙特就产量争执，导致当时OPEC+部长级会议僵持
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行业数据
2026-05-06
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OPEC成员国家当前有效闲置产能情况
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行业数据
2026-05-06
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部分OPEC成员国超额生产率
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行业数据
2026-05-06
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2025年OPEC成员国的日均产量中，阿联酋占比为11.4%，位居第四
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行业数据
2026-05-06
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1980年至1985年OPEC市场份额下滑
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竞争格局
2026-04-13
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全球石油产量OPECvs非OPEC
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行业数据
2026-04-02
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图表11财政收支一览（年度）
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2026-03-26
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OPEC海湾国家财政平衡油价
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2026-03-16
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2025年财政收支执行情况
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2026-03-06
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2026-07-30
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预计 2025 年国际原油价格在全球需求相对稳定但供应过剩，中枢下移概率大，但底部仍有成本线的支撑。一方面，在美国经济韧性较强和中国一揽子政策支撑下，预计 2025年全球需求整体相对稳定，维持相对疲弱的增长态势；另一方面，OPEC+延后的增产计划可能启动，加上特朗普胜选强化页岩油增产预期，预计 2025 年原油供给过剩，对国际油价构成主要下行压力。但部分 OPEC+国家财政收支平衡油价已经高于当前油价、美国页岩油主要产区新井盈利平衡价在 65 美元/桶左右（见图 104-105），意味着油价过低可能会抑制 OPEC+增产动机以及美国页岩油产量的增长，原油价格下行有底。根据EIA 对布伦特原油价格的预测（见图 106），我们预计 2025 年原油对 PPI 同比的拉动作用将较 2024 年下降 0.4 个百分点，呈前低后高走势。
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2025年度宏观策略报告：破浪前行激发内需活力-250103（78页）.pdf
各省市对低空经济实行的相关政策举措
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温和情形下，政策组合对美国2025年、2026年GDP与通胀的影响
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