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2025年9月FOMC会议点阵
2025年9月FOMC会议点阵
行业数据
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所属报告：
【东证期货】2026商品风险：宏观主导的高波动与深分化-251225（50页）.pdf
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相关数据
FOMC点阵图情况
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行业数据
2026-01-20
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2025年12月FOMC会议点阵图
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行业数据
2025-12-26
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图44FOMC中点阵图预测较为鹰派，对2026年降息分歧较为严重
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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2026年1月FOMC单月利率变动概率
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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图5FOMC会后市场对2026年降息预期增强（bps）
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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美联储2025年9月FOMC会议后点阵
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行业数据
2025-12-15
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近3次FOMC声明对比（红色表示表述变化）
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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2025年12月（左）和2025年9月（右）FOMC点阵图对比
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ICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDIgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAxICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDIgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAyICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMiAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDEgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDQuMDAwICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgNC4xMjUgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCA2ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCA0LjI1MCAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDQuMzc1ICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAxICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgNC41MDAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwgMCAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICB8IDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfCAwICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8mue+juiBlOWCqOOAgeS4nOWQtOivgeWIuOeglOeptuaJgA==
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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FOMC会议点阵图（2025.12）
fCDlubTku70gICAgICAgfCDpooTmtYvliKnnjofvvIgl77yJ6IyD5Zu0IHwKfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tfAp8IDIwMjUgICAgICAgfCAzLjYgLSAzLjkgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAyNiAgICAgICB8IDIuMiAtIDQuMCAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI3ICAgICAgIHwgMi41IC0gMy45ICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjggICAgICAgfCAyLjc1IC0gNC4wICAgICAgICB8CnwgTG9uZ2VyIHJ1biB8IDIuOCAtIDQuMSAgICAgICAgIHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8mue+juiBlOWCqO+8jOaWueato+ivgeWIuOeglOeptuaJgA==
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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图2FOMC中点阵图预测较为鹰派，对2026年降息分歧较为严重
fCDlubTku70gICAgICAgfCDliKnnjofpooTmtYvlgLzvvIgl77yJ6IyD5Zu0IHwKfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tfAp8IDIwMjUgICAgICAgfCAzLjIgLSA0LjAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAyNiAgICAgICB8IDIuMiAtIDMuOSAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI3ICAgICAgIHwgMi41IC0gNC4xICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjggICAgICAgfCAyLjggLSA0LjEgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgTG9uZ2VyIHJ1biB8IDIuOCAtIDQuMSAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8mkZFRO+8jOS4nOa1t+ivgeWIuOeglOeptuaJgA==
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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2025年12月FOMC与2025年10月FOMC发布会声明对比
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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FOMC会议点阵图（2025.09）
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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2025年12月FOMC单月利率变动概率
fCDml6XmnJ8gICAgICAgfCAtMjVicHMgfCAwYnBzIHwgKzI1YnBzIHwKfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS18CnwgMjAyNS0xMS0xMiB8IDY3JSAgICB8IDM1JSAgfCAwJSAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjUtMTEtMjAgfCAyNyUgICAgfCA3NiUgIHwgMCUgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI1LTExLTI4IHwgNzklICAgIHwgMjIlICB8IDAlICAgICB8CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJpXaW5k77yM5Y2O5rqQ6K+B5Yi456CU56m25omA
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行业数据
2025-12-01
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2025年12月FOMC单月利率变动概率
PHxiZWdpbl9vZl9ib3h8Pnwg5pel5pyfICAgICAgIHwgLTI1YnBzIHwgMGJwcyB8ICsyNWJwcyB8CnwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tLS18LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tfAp8IDIwMjUtMTAtMjkgfCA5MCUgICAgfCAxMyUgIHwgMCUgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI1LTExLTA2IHwgNjIlICAgIHwgNDAlICB8IDAlICAgICB8CnwgMjAyNS0xMS0xNCB8IDQyJSAgICB8IDYwJSAgfCAwJSAgICAgfAoK6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ77yaV2luZO+8jOWNjua6kOivgeWIuOeglOeptuaJgDx8ZW5kX29mX2JveHw+
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2025-11-17
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