安联（Allianz）：2025年社会韧性指数报告：中等韧性陷阱（英文版）（35页）.pdf

1、Allianz Research11 March 2026Allianz Social Resilience Index 2025The Middle-Resilience TrapAllianz Research2Allianz ResearchContent Page 3-4 Executive SummaryPage 5-8 Uneven and polarized:resilience consolidates,slowlyPage 9-12 Energy price shock triggered by conflict in the Middle East will put res

2、ilience gains to the testPage 13-18 Four clusters of social resiliencePage 19-24 Macro-financial and country-risk relevance of social resiliencePage 25-26 Long-term strategies vs.unforeseen disruptionsPage 27-31 Appendix:country ranking and methodology 11 March 2026 In 2025,the Allianz Social Resili

3、ence Index(SRI)records a third consecutive albeit modest improvement,but underlying divergence remains pronounced.The global average rose from 47.4 in 2024 to 47.9(on a 0-100 scale)across 171 economies,driven by lower imported inflation pressures and greater currency stability in Emerging Asia and s

4、everal advanced economies.Firmer governance was another driving force,including institutional stabilization in parts of Emerging Asia and Central Europe.At the same time,weaker social cohesion in the Middle East,Emerging Europe and high-income countries continued to weigh on social resilience.Northe

5、rn European economies lead the ranking,with Finland(1st,84.3),Denmark(2nd,83.8),and Iceland(3rd,81.4)at the top of our index.Germany(8th,78.5),France(13th,74.7),and the UK(18th,72.9)remain strong,while Italy(28th,66.8)and the US(32nd,65.3)ranked lower but stayed in the top third.China(59th,52.5),Ind

6、ia(81st,46.8),Mexico(105th,41.3),and Brazil(112th,40.0)ranked significantly lower,with conflict-affected states like Lebanon(169th,17.7)and South Sudan(171st,11.8)at the bottom.The conflict in the Middle East and the resulting energy inflation will test the strength of social fabrics,particularly in